A reach is defined here as a pick well above the rated position of the player. These are some of the worst reaches.
Jets Dexter McDougle CB Maryland – They spent the 80th pick on a guy that was a 7th round value even when healthy.
Bucs Kevin Pamphile OT Purdue – He struggled all season but the Bucs took him with the 149th pick. I had him ranked in the 790s.
Seahawks Jimmy Staten DT Middle Tennessee – Staten was ranked in the 790s but despite a good draft the Hawks took him at 172.
49ers Kenneth Acker CB Southern Methodist – The Niners had a good draft but this one is a head scratcher. Acker was rated in the 550s but they took him with pick 180.
Rams Maurice Alexander SS Utah State – The Rams did well over all but took Alexander with pick 110 despite most analysts thinking he was undraftable. I had him in the 450s.
Jags Brandon Linder OG Miami (Fla.) – Linder was a 7th round value but the Jags took him with pick 93.
Redskins Spencer Long OG Nebraska – The Skins had only a few picks but wasted on on Long who was a 7th round value at best but was taken with pick 78.
Falcons Dezmen Southward SS Wisconsin – He was a late 6th round value but they took him with the 68th pick.
Giants Jay Bromley DT Syracuse – Bromley was a 6th round value but the G Men took him with pick 74.
Raiders Derek Carr QB Fresno State – OK I am one of a few analysts that really didn’t like Carr. At best he is Brandon Weeden lite. The Raiders took him with the 36th pick. I had him ranked as the 254th best QB but only 17 QB prospects were considered draftable.
That is what I think. Tell us what you think.
NOTE: Check out the live News, Notes and Rumors show on Monday, Thursday and Friday at 6 PM Eastern on or https://fryingpansports.com/radio-show/. On Samantha Bunten of NBC Sports, former NFL scout Kelron Sykes and I talk NFL draft with just a little Indians and Cavs thrown in. The archive is available on https://fryingpansports.com/radio-show/. Please join us.
Bill Smith is a former coach of several semi-pro teams, has officiated both football and basketball, done color on radio for college football and basketball and has scouted talent. He edits https://fryingpansports.com. He has also published several novels onand a non-fiction work at http://www.merriam-press.com/. Follow him on twitter @NNRonDSN to get the schedule of Special News, Notes and Rumors broadcasts. You can hear the previous shows on https://fryingpansports.com/radio-show/ and the live show Mondays at 6 PM Eastern time on .
He also edits.
To keep up with the News, Notes & Rumors podcasts, follow me on twitter @NNRonDSN.
NOTE: Friday Sept. 27 at 6PM Eastern time I will have a special NFL week 4 preview with special guest Tony Williams, Giants beat writer for Metro New York paper. Hear it live at The Bill Smith Radio Show or the archive there or at https://fryingpansports.com/radio-show/.
The Skins won the NFC East last season but this year the team is 0-3. The questions have centered on the comeback of QB Robert Griffin III but that is only part of the real answer.
4. The team has changed the offense to limit Griffin’s exposure to injury. That is a necessary move considering how many draft picks the team gave up to select him. For that to be a wise investment, Griffin has to play in D.C. for many years. Last year RG3’s running opened wide lanes for RB Alfred Morris. Since RG3 is not running as much the overall rushing offense of the Skins is down. Last season the team was first in attempts and yards with 519 for 2,709 or 169 yards per game. This year the team is 20th in yards averaging only 100.7 yards per game. The Redskins have been outscored significantly early in the first three games this year and gave up on the run.
3. Griffin’s footwork has deteriorated significantly. That has lead to four interception in three games. Last year he had only six picks in 16 games. His QB rating has fallen from 104.2 to 77.7. He is not stepping into his throws. He is also not planting his back foot properly. While part of this is due to him not fully trusting his repaired knee, the majority is him not trusting his protection.
2. The O line has not played as well as it did last year. The line held up remarkably last year after the injury to T Jammal Brown. It has not done nearly as well this season. The team averaged only a half a sack per game last year. This year the line has given up six sacks in 3 games. Another effect of this is Griffin having to throw the ball sooner than he did last year. WR Santana Moss average yards per reception has fallen from 14.0 last year to 11.5 this season. WR Leonard Hankerson has gone from 14.3 to 12.4 yards per catch. RG3’s yards per attempt has gone from 8.1 to 7.0 this season. The O line has also generated many more penalties than last year.
1. The defense has given up a lot more points and yards than last year. Last year the D gave up 24.2 points per game. This season it has become one of the worst in the league at 32.7 per game. Yards per game went from 377.7 to 488.0 this season. Defensive penalties are also up slightly. Even when RG3 is completely healthy, the defense will still have to improve greatly for the Redskins to compete.
That’s what I think. Tell me what you think.
Bill Smith is a former coach of several semi-pro teams, has officiated both football and basketball, done color on radio for college football and basketball and has scouted talent. He edits https://fryingpansports.com. He has also published several novels onand a non-fiction work at http://www.merriam-press.com/. Follow him on twitter @NNRonDSN to get the schedule of Special News, Notes and Rumors broadcasts. You can hear the previous shows on https://fryingpansports.com/radio-show/ and the live show Mondays at 6 PM Eastern time on The Bill Smith Radio Show.
He also edits .
To keep up with the News, Notes & Rumors podcasts, follow me on twitter @NNRonDSN.
The running game in week 1 was WAY down in part because lots of NFL teams have major O line issues. The Seahawks struggled to score 12 points against the Panthers. The Browns could not run or pass in a loss to the Dolphins. The Steelers lose their C Maurkice Pouncey and score only 1 TD. There was only one RB that got 100+ yards (Shane Vereen of the Pats). and he has a broken bone in his wrist.
Colin Kaepernick QB of the 49ers was outstanding against the Packers. He was 27-39 412 yards with 3 TDs and no picks. His new best friend is former Raven WR Anquan Boldin who caught 13 passes for 208 yards and a TD. Despite only running for a total of 90 yards the Niners beat the Pack. Jim Harbaugh is going to owe brother John a REALLY nice Christmas gift for the trade of Boldin.
While the Bills D played well, the Pats are clearly hurt by the loss of targets for Tom Brady. Of course the two fumbles by RB Stevan Ridley did not help the O. The same can be said for the Ravens losing Boldin and the Steelers losing Mike Wallace.
The Pats have put Vereen on the IR with designation to return list. That means the earliest he will be back is week 8.
The Browns wideouts have shown their speed. Unfortunately for the team it was in cars on the streets of Cleveland and not on the field. Both Greg Little and Josh Gordon have been fined for speeding.
Notes:
Bronco QB Payton Manning looks much better to me than he did at any time last year. Even in the middle of the 2012 season the ball speed was down from his days in Indy. As much as the 7 TDs were outstanding, his ability to hit very small openings between defenders this year is much better than any time last year.
There were two rookie QBs starting and Terrelle Pryor as a new starter for the Raiders. Bills rookie starter EJ Manuel nearly beat the Pats with a passer rating of 105. Geno Smith of the Jets had a rating of 80.6 but at least there were no butt-fumbles. Pryor threw for 217 yards and ran for another 112 scoring a total of 3 TDs with 2 picks. While none of the three got starter reps from the beginning of training camp, each did pretty well. They will only get better with more experience.
Robert Griffin III did not look 100% to me. I was not as concerned about his inaccuracy in the first quarter as I was about his mechanics. Some of that was rust from not playing at all in the preseason. But I wonder how healthy he is. There were no QB runs and he looked a little clumsy getting out of the way of the rush. That is something to watch.
Check out my analysis of the Eagles Offense posted yesterday. I think you will find it interesting.
Rumors:
There are a couple of teams that are hoping that the Raiders, Jets and Bills fall in love with their new QBs. The teams that want QBs from the 2014 draft don’t need those three teams joining in the bidding war to get the best candidates.
We saw more fights and jawing this week than in any week in recent memory. The players are generally in a nasty mood and are taking it out on fellow union members. If the NFL does not get control of this issue there is going to be trouble.
Don’t look for Jets’ QB Mark Sanchez to start any time soon. His injury is worse than the team will admit and management wanted Smith to start day one anyway. Management is not convinced Smith is the QB of the future but have seen more than enough of Sanchez. The Jet fans agree.
The leash on Browns QB Brandon Weeden got a lot shorter this week due to his 3 picks and many misfires. The management did not draft him and is not happy with his lack of development. They will likely allow him to start the next 2 games at the Ravens and at the Vikings. By the third game WR Josh Gordon will be back from suspension. But unless he shows significant improvement he could be out week 4. Backup Jason Campbell would likely replace him.
Local media is expressing doubts about the Browns personnel decisions. The basic issue is that with injuries to the CB and RG spots the team failed to bring in any experienced help. Instead they brought in undrafted rookies. There are a couple of OGs available in free agency including Brandon Moore (Jets) and Deuce Lutui (Titans). After week one a team can bring in a veteran player without having to guarantee his total salary.
Giants’ coach Tom Coughlin was fuming on the sidelines after seeing his team turn the ball over six times.
OSU is in trouble again but this time it is Oklahoma State University. While the full scandal found originally by Sports Illustrated is not yet uncovered, it looks really bad. The charges include payments to players, work done for them by tutors and even recruits getting a “happy ending” from their official hosts.
The zebras of the NFL did not have a good week. While we never hear about penalties by the league against officials, there will be some this week. Way too many of the officials seem to think the fans come to the game to see them. Get a clue guys. You are supposed to be the rule enforcers. I have no issue with a judgment call being missed. There is no excuse for not knowing the rules.
That’s what I think. Tell us what you think.
You can listen to the podcasts at https://fryingpansports.com/radio-show/ and hear NNR Live with Samantha Bunten of NBC News and me Mondays at 6PM Eastern time on .
Bill Smith is a former coach of several semi-pro football teams, has officiated both football and basketball, done color on radio for college football and basketball and has scouted talent. He edits https://fryingpansports.com. He has also published several novels onand a non-fiction work at http://www.merriam-press.com/.
Ken Becks of 1stdownscouting.com/1st down joins us to talk about the Browns and the rookie news around the league.
Don Davey former NFL player joins us to discuss his career and the plight of the retired players.
Brian Skinnell sports editor for WSHC radio Washington DC joins us to discuss the Redskins, RG3, and the Wizards draft choice.
Jason Clary, Knightcast radio sports host joins us to talk about the off seasons for the Bucs and the Dolphins.
Our NNR Sportsims.net football league will start in June. The league is free to our listeners and readers. Email me at [email protected] to register. The draft order will be determined by the date of registration.
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Be part of the show by calling our SportSims.com hotline at 216-539-0607.
Bill Smith is a former coach of several semi-pro teams, has officiated both football and basketball, done color on radio for college football and basketball and has scouted talent. He edits https://fryingpansports.com and was a senior writer for . He has also published several novels onand a non-fiction work at http://www.merriam-press.com/.
1st pick – Carolina Panthers : AJ Green WR Georgia 2nd pick – Denver Broncos: Patrick Peterson CB LSU 3rd pick – Buffalo Bills: Von Miller OLB Texas A &M 4th pick – Cincinatti Bengals: DaQuan Bowers DE Clemson 5th pick – Arizona Cardinals: Blaine Gabbert QB Missouri 6th pick- CLEVELAND BROWNS: Robert Quinn DE North Carolina 7th pick – San Fran 49ers: Prince Amurkamara CB Nebraska 8th pick – Tennesse Titans: Cam Newton QB Auburn… reach pick by meddling owner 9th pick – Dallas Cowboys: Anthony Castonzo OT Boston College 10th pick – Washington Redskins: Nick Fairley DT Auburn red flags causes Fairley to fall to wash 11th pick – Houston Texans: Marcell Daureus DT Alabama 12th pick – Minnesota Vikings Jake Locker QB Washington Locker will wow teams after great combine 13th pick – Detroit Lions Aldon Smith OLB Missouri 14th pick – St. Louis Rams Julio Jones WR Alabama 15th pick – Miami Dophlins Mark Ingram RB Alabama 16th pick – Jacksonville Jaguars Cameron Jordan DE California 17th pick – New England Patriots Akeem Ayers OLB UCLA 18th pick – San Diego Chargers Adrian Clayton DE Iowa 19th pick – New York Giants Nate Solder OT Colorado 20th pick – Tampa Bay Bucs Ryan Kerrigan DE Purdue 21st pick – Kansas City Chiefs Derek Sherrod OT Mississippi State 22nd pick – Indianapolis Colts Tyson Smith OT Southern Cal 23rd pick – Philadephia Eagles Mike Pouncey OG Florida 24th pick – New Orlean Saints Mikel LeShoure RB Illinois 25th pick – Seattle Seahawks Gabe Carimi OT Wisconsin 26th pick – Baltimore Ravens Brandon Harris CB Miami 27th pick – Atlanta Falcons JJ Watts DE Wisconsin 28th pick – New England Patriots Cameron Heyward DE Ohio State 29th pick – Chicago Bears Torrey Smith WR Maryland 30th pick – New York Jets Corey Liuget DT Illinois 31st pick – Green Bay Packers Justin Houston OLB Georgia 32nd pick – Pittsburgh Steelers Rahim Moore FS UCLA
Fryingpansports will be publishing other mock drafts by listeners soon.
That’s what he projects. Tell me what you think.
Bill Smith is a former coach of several semi-pro teams, has officiated both football and basketball, done color on radio for college football and basketball and has scouted talent. He is a senior writer for and edits https://fryingpansports.com. His first non-fiction work is at the publisher now and he has also published several novels on
and a non-fiction work at http://www.merriam-press.com/. He edits . Also listen to the best Sports Talk anywhere on the Internet and hear his sports show Monday-Friday 5-9 EST on https://www.cleveland.com/dsn/2010/11/dsn_video_live_stream.html
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