Unexpected consequences of the uncapped 2010.

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nfl

There are many things that will happen in the 2009-2010 off season that are directly resulting from the inability of the NFL owners and NFLPA to come to a Collective Bargaining Agreement before Mr. 5.

Without a cap, poor teams will dump high cost players.

Teams that are in financial trouble will be able to dump high cost players and replace they with minimum salary guys. Teams like Buffalo and Jacksonville have been losing with their current players so there is no reason to keep them. The end of the cap means there is no longer a minimum amount that teams must spend. Look for a number of bottom end teams to dump expensive players.

High price players in the last few years of their contract can be dropped without penalty.

Even middle of the road teams and upper level teams will drop some high priced players that they do not intend to resign when their contracts expire. Rumors have the Panthers cutting DE Peppers; the Cards cutting S Rolle; the Packers cutting OL Colledge; the Jets cutting OG Faneca and OB Gholston; the Raiders finally cutting QB Russell. Those are just a few of the name players that will be cut due to the end of the cap.

The rich (in both money and talent) will get richer.

According to the latest news about the CBA last year rules, the teams that were not in the final 8 in the playoffs can sign as many high priced FA as they want. Teams in the final 8 can sign players as long as they lose or cut an equal number of starter salary level players as well. The league has long prospered based on a competitive balance between the top of the league and the bottom. This season there were the haves and have nots but very few teams in the middle.

The non-TV revenue sharing that was part of the CBA is gone.

The NFL already announced that it will cut 100 million from the revenue sharing program. There will be more cuts leaving the bottom feeders like Buffalo, Cincinnati, and Jacksonville with even less of a chance to survive.

Restricted Free Agents will not get contracts approaching Unrestricted FA.

The best group of players that would have been free agents is the 4 years of service class. There are 212 players that under the CBA would have been unrestricted FAs that in the final year will be only Restricted Free Agents. Under the RFA status, the current team has the first right of refusal to match any certified offer the player gets from another team. These guys are irate and understandably so. They will have very little leverage to get a UFA type contract from their current teams. They will also not get the kind of poison pill contract offers from other teams. A poison pill is a very expensive bonus or other payment that the current team is unlikely to match to keep the player. With quality players being cut, there will be a few buyers for a large supply of players. The players in that environment will get lower contract offers.

The UFL will pick up some of the RFA players.

The UFL started with a hope that 1) the NFL would go on strike in 2011 and 2) that they could get some name players from the NFL that were cut or unwilling to accept the money offered by the NFL. Given the group of RFA players that have been denied UFA status by the opt out of the CBA. The combination of their frustration with the NFL for being RFAs and the near certainty of no play in 2011, some of these players will jump to the UFL.

For those of you that are old like me and remember the USFL, it will be interesting to see if the UFL makes the same mistake. The USFL folded in part because they tried to outbid the NFL for key players like Hershal Walker. The UFL won’t have to get into a bidding war. The players will want to play and the UFL probably will not have any competition in 2011.

Your fantasy football doesn’t have to be over. Run a pro football franchise all year long for free at . Tell them Coach Smith sent you.

That’s what I think. Tell me what you think.

Bill Smith is a former coach of several semi-pro teams, has officiated both football and basketball, done color on radio for college football and basketball and has scouted talent. He is a senior writer for and edits https://fryingpansports.com. He is a regular contributor on Cleveland Sports Radio http://www.sportstalkcleveland.com/ Monday morning at 11. He has also published several novels on

and edits .

Technorati Tags: nfl,Collective Barganing Agreement,NFLPA,Free Agents,free agency,Restricted Free Agent,UFL,nfl draft,2010 NFL DRAFT,2010 season,2011 season
  • Author:
  • Published: Aug 7th, 2009
  • Category: NFL Football
  • Comments: Comments Off on The problem with the Raiders is Al Davis not the QB.

The problem with the Raiders is Al Davis not the QB.

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The Raiders are the closest thing there is to a minor league in the NFL. It has become the black hole where players are forced to go to have their careers die. Al Davis couldn’t organize a 2 car funeral procession let alone run an NFL team. It wasn’t always that way. When the Raiders won regularly, they had head coaches that would stand up to Davis. Now no one with a brain is allowed to work for the team.

QB JaMarcus Russell just got the worst situation possible—a lack of ability to process information fast enough to be effective and Jeff Garcia as the backup QB who will do everything possible to undermine him. Russell is a thrower not a QB. He has never mastered the playbook and has the passing touch of a 100,000 pound sledge hammer. The organization is hoping that Russell’s last few almost decent games last year marks a turnaround in his career. Don’t bet on it. There is no way that he can lead a team to a winning record let alone a division title. Garcia is capable of starting but not winning. He has proven that in Cleveland. But he would be much more productive than Russell.

The running back group is very deep and talented. But as usual, the team will start the wrong guy. The flashy Darren McFadden will start if he is healthy. In my opinion he is not capable of being a 250 carry back in the NFL. RB Justin Fargas is a better 3rd down back and RB Michael Bush could be a star despite the steel in his leg. FB Lorenzo Neal is well down on the back side of his career but still can blow a LB off the line. This group will have to carry the load because with Russell at QB they are going to face a lot of 2nd and 10.

The WR group is a microcosm of what is wrong with the team. The starters are Johnnie Lee Higgins and Chaz Schilens. WHO? They both played last year but are not likely to make anyone’s fantasy draft list. The Raiders drafted the super fast Darrius Heyward-Bey in hopes that not even Russell could over throw him. The question is an Bey catch. He has suffered through periods of dropsy. Javon Walker is around but has yet to be healthy since signing with the team.

Beside former top draft pick G Robert Gallery the O line consists of 4 maybe’s. LT Mario Henderson played OK down the stretch. Maybe he will be OK this year. C Samson Satele started for Miami and came to the Raiders as a UFA. Maybe he will fit into the zone blocking scheme. After a fair 07 RG Cooper Carlisle’s performance fell off badly in 08. Maybe he will return to his 07 form. Ts Erik Pears and Khalif Barnes are the only backups of note.

The Raiders D line is in a little better shape. Vet DE Greg Ellis adds some pass rush to the team but Davis was forced to trade disgruntled DE Derrick Burgess to the Pats. DE Jay Richardson looks like he is starting to get it. NT Gerard Warren and DT Tommy Kelly both have talent but are the classic definition of inconsistent play. Rookie DE Trevor Scott had 5 sacks playing part time. The group is going to have to put more pressure on opponent QBs if the defense is going to improve.

The linebackers are fast and athletic. That is good because they need the speed to make up for false steps. WLB Thomas Howard and MLB Kirk Morrison are secure but SLB Jon Alston will face competition for his spot from last year starter Ricky Brown. Howard is a potential star but needs to be better at reading plays. Morrison moved from the outside to the middle. He struggles getting off blockers.

RCB Nnamdi Asomugha is a top player. The Raiders resigned him. LCB Chris Johnson is just OK but will get a lot of action because teams stay away from Asomugha. SS Tyvon Branch and FS Hiram Eugene have the physical tools but have yet to prove they can use them. They will have to grow up fast if the team expects to improve.

OVERALL: This is a bad team and is getting worse not better. Because of Davis, the team starts the wrong guys in too many positions. Free agents have been willing to come to Oakland only when they had no place else to go. The drafts are bereft of real potential stars and have been for a few years. The tag line of this team has always been “Just Win Baby.” There won’t be much of that in 09.

That’s what I think. Tell me what you think.

Bill Smith is a former coach of several semi-pro teams, has officiated both football and basketball, done color on radio for college football and basketball and has scouted talent. He is a senior writer for and edits https://fryingpansports.com. He has also published several novels on and edits .

Technorati Tags: NFL Football,NFL Draft,Fantasy Football,Davis,Russell,Bush,Fargas,Heyward-Bey,Henderson,Barnes,Asomugha,Warren
  • Author:
  • Published: Jul 27th, 2009
  • Category: NFL Football
  • Comments: Comments Off on The Bills future will ride Edwards' arm.

The Bills future will ride Edwards' arm.

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QB Trent Edwards no longer has J.P. Losman to compete with. Losman is now in the UFL. The Bills have to hope that Edwards will continue to develop because there is little experience behind him. He will be front and center in the first three games because RB Marshawn Lynch has been suspended for those games.

Edwards developed a little unlike his predecessor who regressed. He improved in almost every facet of his game from 07 to 08. He improved his accuracy from 56 to 65 percent and QB rating from 70.4 to an acceptable 85.4. The one area he needs to improve on the most is in the red zone. He has always thrown about as many picks as TDs. That is going to have to improve if the Bills have any chances of improving. The concern is that in both of his seasons he has tailed off late in the year. He is going to have to find a way to get it done in the cold winds of Buffalo in December if he wants to play in January.

He will have a new target for the red zone in Terrell Owens. When he is not tweeting, TO can give Edwards a second TD threat. We will see if the first year Good TO helps the Bills. He should get some of the double and triple coverage off WR Lee Evans. Evans is a great deep threat and Josh Reed will be the slot back. The TEs will not contribute much to the passing game unless rookie Shawn Nelson develops.

The ground game will be tested early with the Lynch suspension. Fred Jackson and FA Dominic Rhodes will have to carry the early load. The running game was effective last year with Lynch and Jackson. But the line has been rebuilt and is a huge question mark.

Langston Walker moves from RT to LT to replace Pro Bowler Jason Peters. Peters did not play like a pro bowler last year. Walker struggles with quick pass rushers and will have to improve his technique. Kirk Chambers and Seth McKinney will be the guards but neither is a particularly strong pass blocker. FA Geoff Hangartner figures to be the C and is an improvement over the guys that played there last year. Brad Butler moves from RG to RT but has never played T before in the NFL.

The Bills struggled against the run in 07. They did much better last year with the addition of DT Marcus Stroud. He helped free up the linebackers to make plays. But the team failed to put much pressure on the QB in part because team sack leader DE Aaron Schobel missed 11 games with a foot injury. He needs to get back to form quickly if the 4-3 pass rush is to improve. There is experience behind the starters but not a lot of production.

IB Paul Posluszny and WLB Kawika Mitchell are the stars of the linebacking crew. Both played at a pro bowl level last year. The SLB was a problem and it is uncertain who will fill that spot.

The D backfield looked sad last year. Part of that was due to the lack of a legitimate pass rush. But for the Bills to make the playoffs let alone advance, the DBs are going to have to have more than the 7 picks they got last year. CB Terrence McGee is the best player in this group. Former 1st round pick Donte Whitner lost his SS job to Bryan Scott who played fairly well. Last year rookie Leodis McKelvin showed promise starting the last 6 games of 08. Whitner will have to fight for his job in 09 with second year S John Wendling. CBs Drayton Florence and Ashton Youboty provide depth. Youboty looked very good last year but was hurt.

The Bills have a hard road to improve in the division. New England will improve and Miami will be better than last year but that may not mean a better record because they have a tougher schedule. The Bills and Jets will battle for 3rd place in the AFC East and it is unlikely that more than 2 teams will make the playoffs from that division.

That’s what I think. Tell me what you think.

Bill Smith is a former coach of several semi-pro teams, has officiated both football and basketball, done color on radio for college football and basketball and has scouted talent. He is a senior writer for and edits https://fryingpansports.com. He has also published several novels on and edits .

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