Bill Smith’s College Player Rating System

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By Bill Smith

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We all like to evaluate how badly our favorite teams have screwed up the draft. I though you might like to see how I evaluate players. I will be doing a draft rap up here on the Browns and other teams after the draft.

This outlines the system I have used for more than 40 years in evaluating college players for the NFL draft. The system is based on a point system. A number of years ago, I was in Indy the week of the Combine. I ran into a couple of Colt scouts in the hotel lobby. I suggested that they look at a C that I really liked but would probably not be drafted. He wasn’t drafted but the Colts signed him as a rookie undrafted free agent. The player was Jeff Saturday. All he has done is become an all pro for many years and the captain of the O line for Payton Manning. I found him using this system.

To use it, there are a few rules that must be followed.

Rules:

Only use the first half of games except for all star games. That eliminates players taking quarters off or taking unnecessary risks from a blowout.

The point system is used. A single play can generate no more than 5 points for any player.

It is impossible to effectively grade O and D line live. Slow motion is necessary to evaluate plays in these areas.

To get a reliable grade for a player, you must see at least 8 quarters of play. With 4 quarters you can get a good idea but to be sure the more games the better. That also balances the quality of opponents.

Only grade the seniors and probable juniors entering the draft. It is almost impossible to evaluate all 22 players on every play unless you have no life what so ever. Most seasons I wait until the under classmen have declared to do my detailed study of players.

Only award positive or negative numbers for above (or below) average plays. An average player is expected to make average plays regularly. This is one subjective area of the evaluation. However, if you are consistent with your grading, you can compare players in the same position on different teams.

Up to 2 pluses or minuses can be awarded for a play. For example a 5 yard penalty is -1 (pn-) while anything more than 5 yards is -2 (pn=). These are still within the 5 point rule.

Credit the player that deserves credit. An interception that bounces off a players hands and is picked is charged to the receiver not the passer. The D player that forces a QB into the arms of another gets half a sack as does the tackler.

Scoring:

OL 1 point each—p-Pass block r-Run block (lineman pulls or blocks down field and makes the block) d-Drive block NOTE: If a lineman pulls and misses the block he gets 0 on the play not a -.

Scoring for “skill” players (includes the above plus the following):

QB 1 point each as am al (accuracy in short, medium and long passes) tou (touch) xr (avoid rush) r(run)

QB 2 points each aw (awareness/looking off the safety) rd (reading D finding open receiver)

QB -3 points each x(interception) fl (fumble)

RB/WR 1 point each c (catch) r (run) v (vision) add a + for each tackle broken b (block) a (attempted catch of a bad ball) o (get open) d- (drop)

RB/WR 2 points each yac (yards after catch/contact) e (effort) aw (awareness) fl (fumble) fr (fumble of another recovered)

Miscellaneous (Defense or offense)

1 point each t (tackle) ms mm ml (man coverage short, med, long) z (zone) pb (pass blocked) pd (pass defended down field) r (run d) p (pass rush)

2 points each h (hurry QB to inc. pass) aw rd (read play) s (sack) fr (fumble recovered)

3 points each x (interception) xc (interception caused by rush or tipped ball) fc (fumble caused) bkp (blocked punt) bkk (blocked kick)

Only for those that are really into evaluating DBs: If a sack occurs after 4 seconds of the snap, each DB gets a G (group sack) worth one point to each.

In addition, the pn is a minus as described above but if a player causes a penalty he gets a pc (penalty caused) worth one point for a 5 yard and 2 pts for more than 5 yards.

Now I am sure that everyone wants to know what is a good score and what is a bad one. That like beauty is in the eye of the evaluator. O line and D players should average more than 8 points in a half. QB and RBs should get 12+ to be considered very good. WR vary a lot depending on how many times they are thrown to. Those are scores according to my evaluations. Yours may well differ depending on what you call an above average play. It is a tool to rank different players in the same position. However, if you see a player that is not well thought of that scores very high in all games seen, he is probably going to be a steal in the draft.

One last thing. The scores for each player should be listed in order that the games were played. A good player that shows consistent improvement from 5 to 7 to 9 to 11 points during the season moves ahead of a player that is level or moves down from early to late. When you have players with different numbers of games evaluated, use the average score per game for each.

This is a lot of work and not many will want to do it. However, it also works for evaluating pro players but their scores should be a little higher to be considered above average. I hope you at least try this system and would love to know what you think after you have.

This system is copyrighted by W.E. Smith. It is posted here for the private use of our readers and may not be reproduced in any other forum, form or on the net without the written permission of the author.

Please join me for the best Sports Talk anywhere on the Internet and hear his sports show Monday-Friday 8-10 EST on http://www.cleveland.com/dsn/index.ssf/2010/11/dsn_video_live_stream.html

Bill Smith is a former coach of several semi-pro teams, has officiated both football and basketball, done color on radio for college football and basketball and has scouted talent. He is a senior writer for and edits https://fryingpansports.com. He has also published several novels on and edits .

My email is [email protected]

Technorati Tags: NFL Draft,mock draft,2011 NFL Draft,player evaluation,combine,college all star games

Mavs Owner Mark Cuban is looking into starting a REAL NCAA Championship Playoff system for College Football.

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Mark Cuban has always been one of the most outspoken proponents of marketing in the NBA. But he has interests far beyond that sport. He attempted to buy the Chicago Cubs but was rebuffed by the Old Boys Club known as Major League Baseball. Now he has another idea and this one is something I can really get behind–He wants to finance a true NCAA Playoff system. He told ESPNDallas.com: “The more I think about it, the more sense it makes as opposed to buying a baseball team. You can do something the whole country wants done.”

There are precedents for starting a true playoff. Pryor to the first NCAA Basketball National Championship Tournament, the National Invitational Tournament was the “unofficial” championship. It took a few years before the NIT became a footnote and the NCAA Tournament became the central focus as the “real” championship.

Cuban wants to replace the BcS and most of the football world (except the pinhead ivy covered college presidents) agrees it should go. Cuban is totally correct that there would be a lot more money generated by a national playoff than by the 34 bowl games plus the BcS Championship game.

There are some that complain “we can not lose the tradition of the Bowl games in college football!” Who will ever recover from the loss of the Poulan Weed-eater bowl? I know I cried for weeks! There are 14 teams in bowl games with a 6-6 record. What Drama! What excitement to proudly claim “We’re number 33!”

There are 3 key questions. Question 1-Would TV pay BIG BUCKS to broadcast a true playoff? Oh, YES THEY WOULD. Today for example on the local ABC affiliate at 2PM opposite the ESPN coverage of the New Mexico Bowl is showing “Paid Programming.”

Question 2– Would the really good teams sign up to play vs going to a BcS bowl?

I will leave it to you. Do you think the undefeated TCU would rather play in an 8 team playoff for a national title rather than playing a one loss Wisconsin for all the roses in the Rose Bowl? I think so. Would Ohio State rather play Arkansas in the Sugar bowl or have a shot to win a national championship? No, they would rather have a shot at the big game.

Now an even harder question. If you were undefeated Oregon or Auburn, would you rather receive a crystal football from the BcS or win a true playoff? If the other top teams were going to the playoff, I think both would opt out of a fictional championship for a real playoff. That is particularly true of Auburn who could lose their BcS championship if QB Newton is eventually found to have been ineligible. When you win a playoff similar to that in the NFL, you have much more credibility.

Question 3-Will the schools go along with the idea? In terms of the Cuban plan to get the playoff started, here is what he said, “Put $500 million in the bank and go to all the schools and pay them money as an option. Say, ‘Look I’m going to give you X amount every five years. In exchange, you say if you’re picked for the playoff system, you’ll go.”

The only thing that is more important to college presidents than their dedication to a far left agenda is their greed. Pay them and they will come. The TV rights to an 8 team playoff has been estimated to be worth 2 billion dollars. That is where the playoff would probably start.

If it started this season, here is what the playoff would look like.

8 Arkansas v 1 Auburn

5 Wisconsin v 4 Stanford – Winner plays the winner above

6 Ohio State v 3 TCU

7 Oklahoma v 2 Oregon – Winner plays the winner above.

The first round would be played today and tomorrow. The second round would be played the following Saturday and the finals would be played on Jan 1.

The rest of the bowls could go on as usual. There would be 4 fewer bowls. The ones to go first would most likely be the New Mexico Bowl, the uDrove Humanitarian Bowl, the R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl and the hardest to give up–the Beef ‘O’ Brady’s St. Petersburg Bowl. Somehow, I can face another day without those great games if there was a real playoff at the end of the season.

So, that is the plan. Do you think that would be a better system than the BS–I mean BcS?

That’s what I think. Tell me what you think.

Bill Smith is a former coach of several semi-pro teams, has officiated both football and basketball, done color on radio for college football and basketball and has scouted talent. He is a senior writer for and edits https://fryingpansports.com. His first non-fiction work is at the publisher now and he has also published several novels on

and edits .

Also listen to the best Sports Talk anywhere on the Internet and hear my draft analysis on Tuesdays on http://www.cleveland.com/dsn/index.ssf/2010/11/dsn_video_live_stream.html

Technorati Tags: BCS,BCS Championship game,Auburn,Oregon,Wisconsin,Ohio State,Stanford,TCU,Oklahoma,NFL Playoffs,Mark Cuban,ESPN,ESPNDallas.com,NBA,Dallas Mavericks
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