• Author:
  • Published: May 7th, 2014
  • Category: NFL Football
  • Comments: Comments Off on Last minute NFL Draft trade rumors.

Last minute NFL Draft trade rumors.

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NFL Draft (2)

NOTE: There will be no NNR show at 6PM Thursday but I will do a post draft show as soon as the Browns make their final 1st round pick. Join us on The Bill Smith Radio Show.

The only time you hear more lies than the days leading up to the draft is during a Presidential campaign. After studying the NFL draft since 1960, I guess I have seen and heard about all the rumors and stories many times. Here are my impressions of what is true and what is a smoke screen.

The Texans will trade out of the 1st pick.

Getting something close to the value for DE Jadeveon Clowney at the top spot will be very hard. Although they are clearly open for business, the asking price they want is a high 1st and 2nd this draft and the trading team’s number 1 in 2015. I doubt they will find someone to pay that price.

The Lions want to trade up to get WR Sammy Watkins.

The Lions would love to trade up to get Watkins but it will be costly. While several teams in the top 5 would love to trade down, they expect a lot. For example a trade from 10 to 2 would cost the Lions their first, second (45), the third (95) and their 1st in 2015. While the Rams might offer a slight discount, that is a high price to pay considering that at 10 the Lions could get one of the other WR prospects that would be almost as good. They have a lot of needs and won’t make the trade.

The Bills want to trade up to get their man.

The Bills reportedly want OLB Khalil Mack from Buffalo Univ. but will likely have to get to 2 to get him. The same type of cost applies to move from 9 to 2. The Bills will settle for another OLB and save their picks. The final price is determined by how motivated the Rams are to move down.

Teams that need QBs will trade back into the 1st round to get their favorite.

This will happen for a very simple reason. The new CBA allows teams that pick in the 1st round get a 5th year option on the player they take. If the QB works out, they will exercise the option. If not, they won’t have to worry about it because the GM that replaced them will have that decision.

Everybody wants Johnny Football.

The Rams are very interested in drafting Johnny Manziel.

This is a message to QB Sam Bradford—get it done or you are gone. They will take a QB somewhere in the draft but not at 2 or 13. Bradford is in double jeopardy because he has a high cap number and no more guaranteed money in his deal.

The Browns are looking to take Manziel with the 4th pick.

While Browns owner Jimmy Haslem may really like him, there is a huge risk at taking such a frail QB that high. They may trade down and take him but it will not be at 4. Either Mack or Watkins would have to be on the board at 4 to give a team a reason to trade up.

The Cowboys are hoping to trade up to get Manziel.

This was another QB message. “Tony Romo get us into the playoffs this year or you will be gone in 2015.” It was also an attempt by Jerry Jones to get some interest in a team trading above them to get Manziel so that the player he wants really falls down to 16. But the cost of such a move would be so high that Jones quashed the rumor in a recent press conference.

The Raiders are interested in getting Manziel.

While Manziel would put people in the seats, the Raiders need to win now or the front office will be gone. I am not sure they would want to bet their jobs on Manziel getting wins by himself. It is possible but not likely.

The Falcons want to trade up to get pass rush help.

This one is true. They would love to trade up to 3 or 4 from 6 to get Mack or one of the OT prospects. He is the best pure OLB pass rusher on the board. The Falcons front office has a history of big trades up and 6 to 4 would not be overly costly. The likely deal with the Browns at 4 could be for 6, 37 (2nd) and 68 (3rd). The Browns likely take that deal but would be better off drafting Mack.

Most of the “well known” mock draft posters have inside information from the teams.

While some like Mel Kiper do have very solid connections around the league, most do not. They base their mock (aka guess) based on the needs of the various teams. No team wants leaks based on what they will do. Front office people have been fired for less than spilling the team’s beans.

Forget the mock drafts, it is the position rankings that are important.

This is true. While there is no way most mockers have inside information, to be taken seriously they need to be as honest as possible on the ranking of players. However, different people look for different things. It also depends on which games a media scout sees. I rate every draftable player when I chart a game. I do between 120 and 250 games a year to provide the draft postings on this site.

Most teams drafts are based on “best available” concept.

Usually teams at the bottom of the draft will take the best available player (bap). The teams at the top of the draft have too many holes to ignore and go bap. If you don’t fill your holes as a GM, your replacement will.

The Jets will move up to take Odel Beckham Jr. WR LSU.

Beckham is moving up due to his size and speed. He has moved to the 3rd spot on most people’s WR lists. He is a solid prospect with good up side and the ability to highpoint the ball. The Jets likely would have to get to 10 and the Bills and Lions may be willing to trade down if they can’t trade up or get their man at their current spot.

The Browns will draft 2 quarterbacks in 2014.

The Browns signed two vets at the position. However, until they fix the right side of the line they can use all the QB prospects they can get.

That is what I think. Tell us what you think.

NOTE: Check out the live News, Notes and Rumors show on Monday, Thursday and Friday at 6 PM Eastern on or https://fryingpansports.com/radio-show/. On Samantha Bunten of NBC Sports, former NFL scout Kelron Sykes and I talk NFL draft with just a little Indians and Cavs thrown in. The archive is available on https://fryingpansports.com/radio-show/. Please join us.

Bill Smith is a former coach of several semi-pro teams, has officiated both football and basketball, done color on radio for college football and basketball and has scouted talent. He edits https://fryingpansports.com. He has also published several novels on and a non-fiction work at http://www.merriam-press.com/. Follow him on twitter @NNRonDSN to get the schedule of Special News, Notes and Rumors broadcasts. You can hear the previous shows on https://fryingpansports.com/radio-show/ and the live show Mondays at 6 PM Eastern time on .

He also edits .

To keep up with the News, Notes & Rumors podcasts, follow me on twitter @NNRonDSN.

  • Author:
  • Published: May 1st, 2014
  • Category: NFL Football
  • Comments: Comments Off on My All Under Rated 2014 NFL Draft team-Defense

My All Under Rated 2014 NFL Draft team-Defense

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NFL Draft (2)

NOTE: Tonight on NNR we talk NFL Draft about my All Under Rated teams. At 6:30 David Kay NBA writer of walterfootball.com joins us to talk playoffs. Join us after Mr. Moohead at 5 PM on .

Most of these players are 4th round or later. These are players that look to me to be able to contribute to an NFL team and become starters sooner rather than later. The All Under Rated 2014 NFL Draft team-Offense was posted yesterday. Since I am a 4-3 guy we will use that as the basis for this list.

DE – Larry Webster DE Bloomsburg Webster is a small school guy that can play in the NFL. He caught the eye of scouts at the East West game. He is a hand in the dirt guy without the hips to play LB. He rushes the passer and is solid against the run but will be a 6th round pick.

Zach Thompson DE Wake Forest Zach is another guy that will play in the 4-3 but not in a 3-4. He can rush the passer and is stout against the run. He will be a late round or priority free agent (PFA) signing.

DT – Jamie Meder DT Ashland I used to do color for Ashland games on WMAN radio. Meder is a real NFL prospect that exploded in the NFLPA all star game. He is outstanding against the run and pushes the pocket rushing the passer. He went from no chance to make a team to a 5th round pick.

Bruce Gaston DT Purdue The Boiler D was not good but Gaston stood out. He is good against the run and provides some push vs. the pass. He will be a late round pick.

OB – Shaun Lewis OLB Oklahoma State Lewis is a complete OLB. He is very good at rushing the passer but has ball skills to cover as well. He is OK against the run. He will be a PFA.

Eddie Lackey OLB Baylor He was on his way to becoming a 5th round pick until he got hurt late in the season. He was very productive on a bad defense. He has very good speed and can cover and rush the passer. He will not be drafted but is a red shirt signing.

ILB – Nikita Whitlock ILB Wake Forest Whitlock is one of my favorite players. He is not fast or athletic but gives everything he has on every play. He is versatile even playing some nose tackle at Wake. He rushes the passer, is very physical with great instincts. He will not fit in a Tampa 2 due to the lack of speed. He should be drafted but will likely not be.

CB – Ross Cockrell CB Duke He helped himself at the East West game. He has very good ball skills and decent size. He will play the run and can tackle. He should be a 4th round pick.

Chris Davis CB Auburn Davis moved from an undraftable player to a 4th round prospect with his play as a senior. His Senior Bowl helped as well. He is good against the run and pass but needs to trust his ball skills. He gets called for interference too often.

FS – Tre Boston FS North Carolina Boston has fallen but I am not sure why. He is a true center fielder with good speed and very good instincts. He can play either S position and is a very good tackler supporting the run. He should be a 3rd round pick but will be taken in the 6th.

SS – Darwin Cook SS West Virginia Cook is not under the radar, he is completely off it. But what I see is a guy with size, a great motor, awareness, and nose for the ball. He attacks the run and can cover the pass. What he lacks in speed he makes up for with instincts. He should be invited to a camp and if he is he will make a team. He reminds me of former Colt S Bob Sanders.

That is what I think. Tell us what you think.

NOTE: Check out the live News, Notes and Rumors show on Monday, Thursday and Friday at 6 PM Eastern on or https://fryingpansports.com/radio-show/. On Samantha Bunten of NBC Sports, former NFL scout Kelron Sykes and I talk NFL draft with just a little Indians and Cavs thrown in. The archive is available on https://fryingpansports.com/radio-show/. Please join us.

Bill Smith is a former coach of several semi-pro teams, has officiated both football and basketball, done color on radio for college football and basketball and has scouted talent. He edits https://fryingpansports.com. He has also published several novels on and a non-fiction work at http://www.merriam-press.com/. Follow him on twitter @NNRonDSN to get the schedule of Special News, Notes and Rumors broadcasts. You can hear the previous shows on https://fryingpansports.com/radio-show/ and the live show Mondays at 6 PM Eastern time on .

He also edits .

To keep up with the News, Notes & Rumors podcasts, follow me on twitter @NNRonDSN.

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