Why Stanford QB Luck will not be a Colt in 2012

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There is a lot of talk in the sports world about which NFL team will by Luck(y).  Most people believe that the winner (by losing) will be either the Rams, the Dolphins or the Colts.  None of those teams have won a game so far.

The Dolphins – This team is struggling with bad coaching, no QB and a D that is constantly being put in bad field position by
turnovers.  The Fish would love to have Luck and he would love to play for them.   The coach is history after the season.
Having the first choice would allow the Fish to attract a top HC prospect.  It is likely the Fish will be in the battle for the top draft choice all season long.

The Rams – This is the only team that will likely trade the pick.  They have Bradford and are happy with him when he is healthy.
They have multiple issues on the O line and D that could be filled by the draft choices or young veterans they should get from trading the rights to Luck.  This deal will be made BEFORE the draft and not after they take Luck.  If they have both Luck and Bradford on the roster their negotiating power goes down not up.

The Colts – Most people are thinking that the Colts are the worst team in the league and will take Luck.  What they are missing is this—Luck does not want to sit for 4 or 5 years behind Payton Manning.  If the Colts end up with the 1st pick, I predict Luck will stay in school another year.  He is a red shirt Junior and can opt to come out for the draft or stay for another year.   He likes school and the college game.
While there is a risk staying in college, Luck is the closest thing to a sure thing and will not fall like Jake Locker did.  But having sat for a year in college I believe Luck will not want to sit for multiple years behind Manning.

 

That is what I think.  Tell us what you think.

Bill Smith is a former coach of several semi-pro teams, has officiated both football and basketball, done color
on radio for
college football and basketball and has scouted talent. 
He is a senior writer for and edits http://fryingpansports.com. He has also published several novels on http://www.eBooks-Library.com/Contemporary/ and a non-fiction work at http://www.merriam-press.com/.

He edits http://fryingpanpolitics.org/.


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