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Around the NFL for 11/21/09

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Miami 24 Carolina 17

The Fish won without Ronnie Brown who is out for the year. Ricky Williams played both parts in leading the team to a critical win against the Panthers scoring 3 TDs. CR QB Delhomme was back to his normal production completing less than 50% of his passes and throwing as many TDs as picks.

Fish QB Henne did just enough to keep the ball moving to get the win.

Indy @ Baltimore

The Colts are playing well but Raven QB Flacco is more than capable of taking advantage of the injuries in the D backfield of the Colts. The Colts D has never been great at stopping the run and may end up struggling IF the Ravens can get their ground game going again. That depends on the health of both RBs Rice and McGahee. I would not be surprised if Baltimore will pull off the upset.

Atlanta @ NY Giants

Both of these teams need a win to stay in the NFC wild card race. The Falcons are in the worst shape being 4+ games behind the undefeated Saints. They have no chance to win the division and must win conference games to stay in the WC race. Right now they are tied with the Packers for the second WC spot. Both of their RBs are hurt but key reserve Norwood should be able to go. He and Snelling will share the running duties.

The Giants have injury problems of their own. QB Manning and RB Bradshaw both are hurting but will play. Manning has not been as effective since the injury to his foot. RB Jacobs seems to be a step slower than he was last year. There is no report of an injury but he is averaging only 4.1 per attempt which is much lower than his career average.

Manning’s problems have been as much the injury as his young inexperienced WRs. There have been a lot of drops which are drive killers. The O line has also failed to protect him and drive defenders to make room for the running game. As a unit they played much better last year.

The Giants D is still playing at a high level and they should win at home.

San Diego @ Denver

At one time Denver had a 3 game lead over the Chargers but after losing the last 3 games, they are now tied in the loss column. The Chargers need to beat the Broncos to clime out of 6th place in the second WC spot and into the division lead. They play KC and Cleveland in the next two games which should be 2 wins. The Chargers need to get their running game going because they need O balance. QB Rivers has done a lot with very little help. The D needs to put pressure on the Denver QB.

Denver isn’t sure if QB Orton will be able to play because of an ankle injury. If not, they will certainly lose with QB Simms at the helm.

This should be one of the best games of the week and I see the Chargers winning regardless of the Bronco QB.

NY Jets @ New England

Spygate II is always fun to watch. The Jets have fallen and they can’t get up. Pats win easily.

Philly @ Chicago

The Eagles need the win to stay in the 1st WC spot in the NFC. They were in the lead in the division until they lost to the Cowboys and the Chargers in the last two weeks. QB McNabb has fallen into bad habits as the O line has failed to protect him. He has also lost RB Westbrook for at least several weeks. That makes the Eagle O totally one dimensional.

The Bears have fallen out of the playoff picture for now. QB Cutler has been frustrated by the lack of playmakers he has to throw to. The running game with RB McCoy has struggled. The D has played well but can’t overcome the shut down of the D.

Even a loss to the Lions will not get Mangini fired.

There is a lot of chatter but Owner Lerner doesn’t have the stones to fire Mangini. He will let whoever he hires to oversee the team do it. The Lions win.

Nothing will come of the Cable ruckus.

Raider coach Cable will not be suspended for either his history of possible wife abuse nor the confrontation with Hansen.

That’s what I think. Tell me what you think.

Bill Smith is a former coach of several semi-pro teams, has officiated both football and basketball, done color on radio for college football and basketball and has scouted talent. He is a senior writer for http://NFLDraftDog.com and edits http://fryingpansports.com. He has also published several novels on http://www.eBooks-Library/Contemporary/Author.cfm?AuthorID=1003 and edits http://fryingpanpolitics.blog.com.

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The Dolphins will be a better team with a worse record.

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The 08 Dolphins improved every game last year and will probably do the same thing this year. But because they have a tougher schedule and more competition within the division, they may not win as many games as in 08.

I wrote a couple of years ago that Dolphin starting QB Chad Pennington has the brain of a coach, the heart of lion but the arm of a chicken. The truth hurts. But in the revamped Miami O, Pennington works well. He is extremely accurate and reads coverages like an offensive coordinator. But the lack of arm strengthen reduces the value of super speed WR Ted Ginn Jr. The Dolphins have two outstanding backup QBs as well. Chad Henne is a pocket passer with the potential to be an NFL starter. Pat White is the wild card in the Wild Cat. He is more accurate than people think, and is among the best athletes on the team.

The running game has both depth and quality. The combination of Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams ran for over 1,500 yards and 14 TDs. Both would start on a lot of NFL teams. Brown is fully recovered from his ACL and Williams from his addiction to Marijuana.

The WR crew got another ex-Buckeye to add to starter Ginn. Brian Hartline (4th round pick) will contend for the 3rd WR spot and excels at getting open underneath the coverage. Ginn and Greg Camarillo start with Davone Bess as the 3rd WR going into camp. Starting TE Anthony Fasano and backup David Martin each got over 30 catches in 08.

A large part of the resurgence of the Dolphins offense was due to improved play on the O line. 1st overall pick LT Jake Long made the Pro Bowl as an alternate but should have been elected as the starter. Guards Justin Smiley and Donald Thomas were very solid but both lost games to injury. Assuming they are healthy in 09, they will help the O take the next step. C Jake Grove (FA Raiders) was signed to solve the problem at C handling the NT of the AFC East.

Two rookies stepped in at the DE positions to help solidify the D. Phillip Merling (2nd round) and Kendall Langford (3rd round) played well. Langford, who was one of my sleeper picks, started day 1 and got better as the season progressed. Merling did hit the rookie wall but recovered and helped with a critical interception to win the game against the Jets. NT Jason Ferguson is solid and keeps the O line off the LBs. There is some talent but very little experience behind the starting 3.

The Dolphins one problem spot last season was stopping the run. They allowed 9 games of 100 or more yards rushing and have to tighten that up.

HE’S BACK! Future Hall of Fame DE/OB Jason Taylor returns to the Fish to help on the pass rush subbing for starter Matt Roth at SLB. WLB Joey Porter is as good as any but the inside LBs are the weak point of this group. The Dolphins gave IB Channing Crowder a big money deal but are still waiting for him to prove he is worth it. His running mate inside is Akin Ayodele. Ayodele is developing but has to play the run closer to the line of scrimmage.

Despite shuffling the lineup a lot and free agent losses in 08, the D backfield is solid. Safeties Yeremiah Bell and FA Gibril Wilson (Raiders) are as good as any combo in the league if Bell can stay healthy. Wilson is a ball hawk and should improve the number of picks for the team. Will Allen has played at a pro bowl level for several years and Eric Green is capable.

If the Dolphins can be 5-2 on November 8 when they go to NE, and win that game, they will have a good chance to win the division. They are better than both the Jets and Bills but have to win tough games on the road get a repeat appearance in the playoffs.

That’s what I think. Tell me what you think.

Bill Smith is a former coach of several semi-pro teams, has officiated both football and basketball, done color on radio for college football and basketball and has scouted talent. He is a senior writer for http://NFLDraftDog.com and edits http://fryingpansports.com. He has also published several novels on http://www.eBooks-Library/Contemporary/Author.cfm?AuthorID=1003 and edits http://fryingpanpolitics.blog.com.

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