• Author:
  • Published: Mar 18th, 2015
  • Category: NFL Football
  • Comments: Comments Off on 2015 NFL Draft – QB

2015 NFL Draft – QB

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NFL Draft (2)

Note: On NNR today Samantha Bunten of NBC Sports & I previewed the NFC East.  The podcast is on http://fryingpansports.com/radio-show/.

Bill Smith

1. Brett Hundley QB UCLA rJr 6-3 227

Hundley could have been the 1st pick in the 2014 draft but decided to stay in school. He suffered this year from a lack of quality receivers and a bad line.

Strengths:

He has played in a pro style system in terms of pass patterns although has not worked much under center. He has an NFL arm and anticipates throws fairly well. He reads college defenses well but will need work to adjust to NFL coverages. He is athletic and can run when necessary. He will be a value and be taken in the middle of the 2nd round.

Weaknesses:

Like almost all QB’s coming out of college, he needs to improve his drop back footwork. He also has not seen many complex defenses in the Pac-12.

2. Marcus Mariota QB Oregon rJr 6-4 215

Mariota will likely be the 2nd QB off the board. There is a concern if he can adapt to the NFL pocket style passer.

Strengths:

He is a winner. He led his team to the Championship game. He has good touch with all throws and is accurate on short and medium throws. He has a quick delivery. He shows the ability to run when necessary and protects himself.

Weaknesses:

He has not had the opportunity to show he has NFL arm strength. He was not required to do that in school. He has accuracy issues on long passes.

3. Bryce Petty QB Baylor rSr 6-3 230

Don’t assume Petty will have the same problems that RG3 had. Petty is much more interested in improving his game and less on building his brand.

Strengths:

Petty has an NFL arm and a quick delivery. He is athletic and can avoid the pass rush. He has good vision and accuracy. He stands in against a hit and deliver the ball.

Weaknesses:

He is inconsistent on long throws because of his footwork. He has no experience under center. He seldom huddles and has no experience in pre-snap reads.

4. Garrett Grayson QB Colorado State rSr 6-2 215

Grayson is a developmental QB at best. He has a very strong arm but no accuracy or anticipation.

Unrated Jameis Winston QB Florida State rSo 6-4 232

Winston has #1 ability on the field but will get a GM that drafts him with a top pick fired. He has played in a pro offense and can make all the throws. I would not draft him in the 7th round. He will be the face of a franchise and says all the right things but I don’t trust him.

2015 Quarterback Rankings by Kelron Sykes:

  1. Jameis Winston, Florida State

Strengths: Prototype with his physical makeup. Big, athletic and durable. He moves decisively well within the pocket, and displays elusiveness outside the hashes. He displays good intangibles- poise, savvy, toughness, leadership, and good vision. He delivers catchable balls beyond the second and third levels, while having great zip on the ball when delivering in tight coverage. Remarkably consistent in coverage recognition and displays good field awareness dissecting defenses. He displays great anticipation, instincts, and mental toughness within the tackles. He is remarkably competitive, and thrives on the big moment.

 

Weakness: Has major character issue. With all the off the field transactions, i.e. shop lifting, sexual assault, and the incident on campus. Jamesis would be off the draft board of many NFL draft boards based upon those transactions. Jamesis will need to quicken his release, as he displays a long wind up release. He will need to develop better eye elusiveness, as he stares down receivers on his intermediate throws.

 

  1. Marcus Mariota, Oregon

Strengths: Has good size, athletic ability, a good frame to go along with having a tactical work ethic and highly desirable character makeup. He is vastly elusive outside the hashes, and displays enough athletic ability to separate from defenders within the Oregon Offensive System. He is remarkably accurate within short proximity passes, and looks to have a catchable ball with a tight spiral. He looks to be better throwing outside the hashes when pressed to do so, and having a high completion percentage on balls beyond the third level.

 

Weakness: Does not come from a traditional offense. He struggles throwing across his body, while also struggling to identify coverages. Mariota is a run first quarterback, and struggles with going through is progression. He is highly inconsistent; he will make a tremendous throw on one possession, and then follow up with a blunder of a throw the next. He struggles with vision and awareness, as he looks to be a one read player. Mariota will not take chances vertically, as he struggles with accuracy beyond the second level. He will need to develop natural quarterback reads, as the offense he ran in college was all pre-determined.

 

  1. Brett Hundley: UCLA

Strengths: Very well built athlete that displays good arm strength to zip the ball in tight coverage, while also having a precise touch to throw the deep ball. He looks to have a quick release and reliable vision to process his decision making out of the shotgun. He displays good elusiveness and pocket awareness, while also having adequate acceleration to separate from defenders. Brett displays good mental toughness that should translate into moderate success at the next level.

 

Weakness: Most if not all his snaps came out of the shotgun, which made most his reads pre-determied. He doesn’t possess the elusiveness to evade defenders from the pocket, and lacks straight line speed to separate from defenders beyond the first level of defense. He will need to improve ball placement on second and third levels throws as his balls appear to be not in relation with the receivers.

 

  1. Sean Mannion: Oregon State

Strengths: Tall athlete with moderate build and muscular frame. He does a good job in being fundamentally strong with his delivery of the ball. He possesses good arm strength and can make all three throws adequately well. He comes from a pro-style offense which he appeared to have good field vision and command of the offense. He displays calmness and looks to have command of the offense, along with a solid chemistry with his receivers. He displays a very accurate ball, along with having a desirable touch for the vertical ball. His biggest attribute is his ability to throw through small windows with a touch of velocity to equate to success.

 

Weakness: He is not overly athletic, and has very slow feet. He looks to struggle gaining depth in his drops, and struggle to maneuver away from on-coming defenders. He will hold on to the ball too long and takes too many chances forcing the issue of deliverance. He has a history of telegraphing his throws, and relies too much on his arm strength. He appears to be very sluggish if not sloppy in mechanics, and struggles to follow through with throwing motion within short to intermediate throws.

 

  1. Bryce Petty: Baylor

Strengths: Solid size and arm strength, and a very reliable and accurate ball placement. He throws a very catchable ball and thrives on the vertical game. He looks athletic enough in the pocket, and has enough athletic ability to be successful outside the hashes as a runner or thrower. He looks to have precise accuracy within short proximity, and has good pocket presence to dissect defenses.

 

Weakness: He looks to have most of his reads predetermined from the sidelines. He locks in on receivers, and doesn’t do a good job in eye manipulation. Most of his snaps came from the shotgun, and struggles to quickly identify defensive fronts. He will struggle to avoid on coming rushers, and appears to lack the foot speed to separate from level one defenders.

That is what we think. Tell us what you think by commenting here or tweeting me @NNRonDSN.

NOTE: News, Notes and Rumors podcast are BACK. Check out our thoughts on Fridays about the games coming up and Monday on the results of the weekend. My co-host is Samantha Bunten of NBC Sports. Podcasts can be heard on http://fryingpansports.com/radio-show/. Thanks for your support.

Bill Smith is a former coach of several semi-pro teams, has officiated both football and basketball, done color on radio for college football and basketball and has scouted talent. He edits http://fryingpansports.com. He has also published several novels on and a non-fiction work at http://www.merriam-press.com/. Follow him on twitter @NNRonDSN to get the schedule of Special News, Notes and Rumors broadcasts. You can hear the previous shows on http://fryingpansports.com/radio-show/.

He also edits http://fryingpanpolitics.org/.

To keep up with the News, Notes & Rumors podcasts, follow me on twitter @NNRonDSN.

Kelron Sykes is a regular guest on NNR and played at Oregon State. He did scouting for the Jaguars as well.

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  • Author:
  • Published: Jan 18th, 2015
  • Category: NFL Football
  • Comments: Comments Off on If the Broncos hire Gary Kubiak Peyton will not be back.

If the Broncos hire Gary Kubiak Peyton will not be back.

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P Manning

Note: On NNR now Samantha Bunten of NBC Sports & I previewed the AFC and NFC Championship games including my picks against the spread. Then College Insider Kelron Sykes and I discussed the NCAA Championship game and some of the NFL news. The podcasts are on http://fryingpansports.com/radio-show/.

Former Texans HC Gary Kubiak is with the Ravens and had said he was not willing to interview for a HC job. But things changed when he got a call from the Broncos. Now he reportedly will take an interview.

The problem is that the one team that Peyton Manning wanted to go to when he left Indy was the Texans with Kubiak as HC. Frankly they said “thanks but no thanks.”

Peyton does not fit at all in the roll out passing game of Kubiak. That and the fact that Kubiak rebuffed Peyton’s request to come tell me that if Kubiak is the choice, Peyton will move on.

The only chance that Denver has to keep Peyton is to promote the OC Adam Gase to the HC spot. Peyton and Gase have a very good relationship. If the Broncos select Kubiak, then that tells me that they do not want Peyton back at all. There is a 19 million dollar salary owed to him with over a 21 million dollar cap hit. While it is possible that they could pay him and still resign critical free agents, that is not at all likely.

That is what I think. Tell us what you think by commenting here or tweeting me @NNRonDSN.

NOTE: News, Notes and Rumors podcast are BACK. Check out our thoughts on Fridays about the games coming up and Monday on the results of the weekend. My co-host is Samantha Bunten of NBC Sports. Podcasts can be heard on http://fryingpansports.com/radio-show/. Thanks for your support.

Bill Smith is a former coach of several semi-pro teams, has officiated both football and basketball, done color on radio for college football and basketball and has scouted talent. He edits http://fryingpansports.com. He has also published several novels on and a non-fiction work at http://www.merriam-press.com/. Follow him on twitter @NNRonDSN to get the schedule of Special News, Notes and Rumors broadcasts. You can hear the previous shows on http://fryingpansports.com/radio-show/.

He also edits http://fryingpanpolitics.org/.

To keep up with the News, Notes & Rumors podcasts, follow me on twitter @NNRonDSN.

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  • Author:
  • Published: Sep 10th, 2013
  • Category: NFL Football
  • Comments: Comments Off on Coaching analysis of the Chip Kelly Eagle offense

Coaching analysis of the Chip Kelly Eagle offense

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sportsillustrated.cnn.com

 

Monday night we got our first regular season view of the new Chip Kelly Eagle offense.  While it is very interesting from a coaching perspective, I see some serious flaws that make me question how far the team will go this year.

 

Where there is space there will be collisions.  The concept of spreading the offense and thus the defense has great merit.  However, the skill players of the Eagles are all small by NFL standards.  The spacing of the O linemen allows the defenders room to get up to speed prior to hitting the ball carrier.  LeSean McCoy is not big enough to carry the ball 31 times a game.  Very few backs are.  Both QB Mike Vick and WR DeSean Jackson are small and injury prone.  If any of those three get hurt, the offense will be much less effective.

 

The opponents’ defense is not the only group that runs out of gas.  The Eagles blitzed out of the gate scoring 33 points before the Redskins could get an offensive point.  Then the Birds had to hang on by their fingernails to squeeze out a 33-27 win.  Both the Eagle O and D were worn out in the second half.  While some of that is due to not playing a full game in the preseason, the pace of the game will exhaust both teams.  The defensive line will become tired sooner but the number of snaps will take a toll on the big guys on offense as well.

 

The more defenses see it the better they will scheme to stop it.  The Redskins made several key adjustments at half time that helped slow down the Eagles.  There was more pressure on Vick after the break.  That caused him to become much less accurate.  The inside blitz was particularly effective.  The Skins also tightened up coverage on the wideouts forcing him to hold the ball longer.

 

This offense will generate points in bunches only as long as the small three players remain healthy.  But the defensive coaches are really good at finding ways to slow down any unique offense.

 

 

That’s what I think.  Tell me what you think.

 

Bill Smith is a former coach of several semi-pro teams, has officiated both football and basketball, done color on radio for college football and basketball and has scouted talent. He edits http://fryingpansports.com.  He has also published several novels on and a non-fiction work at http://www.merriam-press.com/.  Follow him on twitter @NNRonDSN to get the schedule of Special News, Notes and Rumors broadcasts.  You can hear the previous shows on http://fryingpansports.com/radio-show/ and the live show Mondays at 6 PM Eastern time on The Bill Smith Radio Show.   

He also edits http://fryingpanpolitics.org/.  

To keep up with the News, Notes & Rumors podcasts, follow me on twitter @NNRonDSN.

 

 

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The BCS and NFL Playoffs are becoming clear.

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Wilson Football

In college games I went 8-1 bringing the season total to 31-15.

In pro games against the spread I went 1-4 bringing the total to 20-12.

College football:

#1 Oregon 15 California 13 – The Ducks ducked a close call to continue on the road to the BcS game. They survived to play #22 Arizona at home this week and at Oregon State next.

#2 Auburn 49 Georgia 31 – Tiger QB Newton played very well accounting for 4 scores. The Auburn D is a problem particularly in a possible game against a O like Oregon’s. Auburn will play #11 Alabama next week and #17 South Carolina in the SEC Championship game.

#3 TCU 40 San Diego St. 35 – TCU lost some ground against Boise with a close game against a good SDS team. They have no chance to recover that ground with only the 1 win New Mexico State team left on the schedule.

#4 Boise St. 52 Idaho 14 – Boise is in the best shape to sneak into the Big game if one of the top 2 fall. They have 6-3 Fresno State, #18 Nevada, and 4-6 Utah State.

#5 LSU 51 La. Monroe 0 – LSU has Mississippi and #13 Arkansas on the schedule.

#6 Stanford 17 Arizona St. 13 – Stanford will face Cal and Oregon St. If they play the way they did against a 2-6 Arizona St. team they will lose at Cal next week.

Pro football:

Vick looked great against the Redskins Monday night. They will move up in the FPS Top team list.

Stick a fork in the turkey known as the Vikings. They are done. This team is self-destructing and will be totally reworked next year.

The Browns have found their QB of the present and maybe of the future in McCoy. Check out what I had to say about him in the NFLDraftDog.com Browns team page.

The Colts are banged up and not blowing out anyone. Even so, they have climbed back on top of the AFC South and will be a tough playoff out because they still have Manning.

The Dolphins have lost both QB Henne and Pennington. This team is done for the year but has gotten younger. They will be a force next year.

The 49ers have found their QB for the present and it is Smith–Troy Smith the FA from Baltimore not Alex Smith the 1st round pick a couple of years ago. Troy threw for 356 yards and a TD without a pick last week against the Rams.

The Redskins signed QB McNabb to a 5 year extension. This is more about keeping control of his services in 2011 than anything else. He got 10M guaranteed and 78-88M over the contract with incentives which he probably won’t be able to meet. The Redskins want to keep him because he would get a big offer in free agency next season because so many teams need QBs.

Top 5

1. Patriots – The win over the Steelers was a statement game and got them the top spot despite a loss last week against the Browns.

2. Jets – They got lucky against the Browns to win in overtime. But I still don’t think this team is as good as the Pats.

3. Steelers – The AFC North is a tough division. The Steelers lost to the Pats this week but this is still a good team. They need to shore up the O line and DBs.

4. Falcons – The Birds beat the Ravens with a great comeback. This team is on the rise and QB Ryan is outstanding.

5. Ravens – This team is still very solid and will move up soon.

Dropped out: Giants – They got crushed by the Eagles and QB Vick.

Just out of the top 5: Eagles – If Vick stays healthy and the D continues to play this well, they could make the NFC Championship game.

Bottom 5

28. Cowgirls – One win with a new coach is nice but you have to prove it over the rest of the season.

29. Broncos – The win over the Chiefs was one fraud beating another.

30. Cardinals – “QB? QB? We don’t need no stinking QB!”

31. Panthers – That is what you get for drafting a QB out of Notre Dame.

32. Bills – They finally won a game but it could be the last one for a while.

That’s what I think. Tell me what you think.

Bill Smith is a former coach of several semi-pro teams, has officiated both football and basketball, done color on radio for college football and basketball and has scouted talent. He is a senior writer for http://NFLDraftDog.com and edits http://fryingpansports.com. His first non-fiction work is at the publisher now and he has also published several novels on

and edits http://fryingpanpolitics.org.

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A bad weekend for good College and NFL games.

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College:

#1 Oregon @ California – Cal struggled with Washington State last week 20-13 but plays better at home. That said it does not play well enough to make this a game. That’s OK because no one will see it because the game is on Verses. Oregon continues to win and gets this one easily.

Georgia @ #2 Auburn – Georgia is playing a little better than in earlier in the season. They have won 4 out of their last 5 but that stops Saturday. Georgia’s best hope it that Auburn is looking past them to next weeks game with Alabama. Auburn wins if Newton plays but not as big as you might think. If Newton does not play, the Bulldogs win. In any case this game will be pulled off the board at Vegas.

San Diego State @ #3 TCU – SDS is the last chance for a team to beat TCU. Next week TCU gets 1 win New Mexico State. SDS is a solid team at 7-2 but does not have enough speed to play with TCU. TCU wins and finishes the perfect season next week with a win over NMS.

Penn State @ #9 Ohio State – PS got win 400 last week. Ohio State may be looking forward to the Big game next week at Iowa but wins this one. It could be close.

#10 Oklahoma State @ Texas – Texas is 4-5 and needs a win here or in 2 weeks against Texas A&M plus an expected W against Florida Atlantic to get to a bowl game. Texas won’t get the win here. Ok St O is too good for the Texas D to handle.

#19 Mississippi State @ #12 Alabama This is probably the best game of the week. MissSt is playing well but Bama has too much talent. They will be in a bad mood after a loss last week @ LSU. Bama wins.

Texas Tech @ #16 Oklahoma – TT had a nice win last week against Missouri. Oklahoma has really struggled against the pass and TT is #8 in passing. This game will be close but high scoring. Oklahoma should win at home.

#24 Kansas St @ #17 Missouri – After going 7-0 including a big win over Oklahoma the Tigers have lost 2 in a row. Kansas St is coming off their 1st win over Texas since the Alamo. KSt is playing well but Missouri is better and wins at home.

#23 South Carolina @ #22 Florida – Both these teams have disappointed their fans for under achieving. SC caught a tired and beaten up Bama team and won. But they have lost 3 out of the last 6. Florida has struggled at QB and on D. I think Florida wins but I would not put a dime on it.

NFL:

Jets-3 @ Browns – It has been a while since the Browns were in one of the top games of the week. But they are playing well with wins in the last 2 games over the Saints and the Pats. The Jets need the win to keep the pressure on NE. I will go out on a limb and pick the Browns to cover.

Titans (5-3)-1.5 @ Dolphins (4-4) – Miami has changed QBs with Pennington replacing Henne. I have written that Pennington has the heart of lion, the head of a coach and the arm of a chicken. He is more accurate than Henne but will not throw many deep. The Titans added WR Moss. That should help a below average WR corps. The Titans depend on the run and Moss could open up the running lanes if QB Young or Collins can prove to the opponent they can get the ball deep to him. The Titans win and cover.

Patriots (6-2) @ Steelers (6-2) -4.5 – The Brown showed the league that the Pats can’t stop the run. The Steelers have trouble stopping the pass and have lost another OL player to the IR. The Pats O still can throw the ball. This is a tough game to pick but I think that the Steelers win. I am not sure they cover so I would stay away from betting this game.

Eagles (5-3) -3 @ Redskins (4-4) – HC Shanahan has added unnecessary turmoil to the locker room with his benching of QB McNabb. McNabb faces his old team. The Eagles get a rust free QB Vick with a game under his belt since his injury. The Eagles D looks like they finally have the game plan and pass rush together. The Redskins don’t. I will take the Birds as a road favorite.

Editorial: What to do about Auburn QB Newton?

Auburn has a major issue with the question of the eligibility status of star QB Newton. Earlier this week, Auburn said he would play. That was before the FBI got involved looking into the pay for play issue. As each minute ticks by more information comes out about Newton or his father asking for money to sign to play for Mississippi State. What should happen?

Auburn has no choice but to play him unless they know for a fact that he is guilty. If the NCAA vacates their wins they will be 0-8.

The NCAA MUST get the decision done before practice starts for the Championship game. If they can’t decide before the BcS title game and then declare him out Congress should investigate them.

That’s what I think. Tell me what you think.

Bill Smith is a former coach of several semi-pro teams, has officiated both football and basketball, done color on radio for college football and basketball and has scouted talent. He is a senior writer for http://NFLDraftDog.com and edits http://fryingpansports.com. His first non-fiction work is at the publisher now and he has also published several novels on

and edits http://fryingpanpolitics.org.

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Week 8 College football results — What did we learn?

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wilson football

This week I went 5-1 in top game calls losing only the Texas/Baylor debacle. That puts the total to 22-10 for a 69% correct.

In the pros I went 3-2 which puts the against the spread at 14-8 which is 64% correct.

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College Football

#1 Auburn 51 Mississippi 31 – The Auburn D struggled to control the Rebel O and that is going to be a problem. They will be safe with all but the Iron Bowl where Alabama looks like the winner at this point.

#2 Oregon 53 USC 32 – This was the biggest threat that the Ducks had faced all season. They have two more tough games against #15 Arizona and at Oregon State to close the regular season. They should win both and be in the BcS Championship game.

#18 Iowa 37 #5 Michigan State 6 – After a home loss against Wisconsin, the Iowa D was back in a big way and stuffed the Spartan O completely. Ohio State had better watch out when they visit the Hawkeyes.

#14 Nebraska 31 #6 Missouri 17 – The Tiger O could not match the speed of the Nebraska D. Nebraska is the best team in the 10-15 range and will give the Big 12 South winner nightmares in the league title game.

#8 Utah 28 Air Force 23 – The Utah D struggled to control the running game of the Air Force but few teams run the ball as well as they do. This was a tough game and next week Utah gets a visit from #3 TCU an easy win over UNLV. One of those non-BCS teams will be eliminated from the race. They also have to play @ Notre Dame and finish the season against BYU.

#9 Oklahoma, #11 Ohio State, and #13 Stanford all had easy wins against inferior competition. But all three face some tough games coming up. A big game in the Big 10+1 will be the OSU Iowa game on Nov. 13th. But they face an up and down Penn State team next week that could be a trap game.

#15 Arizona 29 UCLA 21 – The Arizona D was pushed around a little by a very inconsistent UCLA O. The Wildcats have a tough finishing schedule including @ Stanford next week followed by a home game vs. USC, a visit to #1 Oregon and a home game against rival Arizona State. They will not survive that gauntlet and will lose 2 of the 4.

The NFL

Colts 30 Texans 17 – The Colts now have the O running on 5 of 6 cylinders and were able to control the game against the upstart Texans. This team is starting to look like a playoff tough out.

Pats 28 Vikings 18 – The Pats looked good and the Vikes are dead man walking. Farve is not the only Vike that will not make it to 2011. Check out my comments on both the release of WR Moss and the Vike situation on my News, Notes and Rumors page on NFLDraftDog.com.

Packers 9 Jets 0 – The loss caused the Jets to fall out of my Top spot. The problem is the O that could not run when the passing game failed to produce. A loss to the NFC is not as costly as one to another AFC team in positioning for the playoffs. Still, the Jets need to get their O back on track. The Pack stays alive in a very winnable NFC North. All the other teams in that division are imploding.

Jaguars 35 Cowgirls 17 – The Girls looked pathetic against one of the weakest teams in the league. The Girls are in serious trouble. One draft guru has them picking 8th and selecting a QB with that pick. The Jags are struggling in every aspect of the game including selling tickets. This will help but Vince Lombardi couldn’t win regularly with this roster.

Dolphins 22 Bengals 14 – While everything fell the Bengals way in 09 it is falling apart in 2010. The O has been a major disappointment. The passing game has not produced anything close to what was expected. The Dolphins survived in a game where they did not play particularly well.

The Raiders, Lions and Rams all won and are getting much better.

That’s what I think. Tell me what you think.

Bill Smith is a former coach of several semi-pro teams, has officiated both football and basketball, done color on radio for college football and basketball and has scouted talent. He is a senior writer for and edits http://fryingpansports.com. His first non-fiction work is at the publisher now and he has also published several novels on

and edits http://fryingpanpolitics.org.

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