Last Chance for Analytics

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For Browns fans, these are the times that try men’s souls.  This Browns front office has 1 more chance to turn the team around or it will be gone.  I believe that HC Jackson has some time but not the front office.

My experience tells me when someone thinks they are the smartest guy in the room, very often they are not even in the running.  The Browns Front office is trying something different—Analytics.  The do think they are smarter than the rest of the league.  While Analytics works in baseball or basketball, it will not work in football.

One of the things that analytics suggests is trade down to get more draft picks.  That might work if the front office had any idea what they are doing with the extra picks.  Last Monday we detailed the picks that this administration made in 2016.  None of them were ranked in the top 60 in terms of production.  This year began with that same FO failing to get a deal with Pryor who got 1000 yards in his first season as WR with a bunch of nobodies throwing to him.  Instead they got an 8 year veteran who has just 1 1000 yard season in his career.

The FO had a chance to get QB Wentz with the 2nd pick last year but chose to trade down and depend on a fragile RG2.5 at that position.  Wentz and a very flawed Eagle team won 7 games.  The Cleveland Tans went 1-15.

1-15 would feel much better if we had a AFC North style rookie QB starting and learning from his mistakes.  What we had was the usual 43 QBs.  The QB they drafted in the 3rd round is a weak armed, under sized guy from the Pac12 who plays no D at all.

I am at the end of my rope with this group of pinheads.  What makes me think that EVP Sashi Brown can find more than 1 decent player?  Nothing at all.  My suggestion to Brown is go back to being a lawyer because you have no business being a judge of NFL talent.

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2017 NFL Draft prospects Offense From NNR podcast

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QB Weak at the top
1 DeShone Kizer ND 6-4 233 R1-2
Above agr arm QB that takes care of the ball. 47TDs 19X Don’t blame him for ND bad season. That’s on Kelly
2 Deshaun Watson Clm 6-3 215 r1
Acc but trusts his arm too much.  76TD 32X Also runs too much. Can he survive in the NFL?
3 *Mitch Trubisky NC 6-2 233 R1
Tall, solidly built passer. Outstanding athlete BUT 1 year starter Lack of experience is a big issue with me
4 Patrick Mahomes II TTK 6-2 225 R1-2
Top arm but inconstant mechanics. Played with no O line or WRs in a league with NO D. Perfect for CL
5 Davis Webb Cal 6-5 230 R2
Lean body with inj hist Out early in 15.  pressure alters his mechanics. Little D in Pac12
WC Chad Kelly Ole Miss 6-2 224 R6-7
Above avg arm & acc but lots of baggage too.
RB Decent depth but too many questions about this group
1 Leonard Fournette LSU 6-0 240 R1
5.5 Y/C Heavy runner with power & speed. Not as well used as most LSU RBs.
2 Dalvin Cook Florida State 5-11 213 R1
Good rec 3rd down back w/speed & balance. 19TDs in 15&16 Can he stay healthy as a 3 down back?
3 Christian McCaffrey Stanford 6-0 200 R1
6.1Y/C kr, pr rb & Good hands Can he stay healthy as a 3 down back?
4 Marlon Mack South Florida 6-0 210 R3-4
6.7y/c The primary back & 3Y starter in smaller conference
5 Alvin Kamara Tennessee 5-10 215 R3-4
6.2y/c Non-Starter that may be better in the NFL than Col.  Good hands 3rd down back in NFL
WC Joe Mixon Oklahoma 6-1 226 R3-?
6.7 Y/c 1st rnd Talent with FA baggage Hit a woman & suspended 1y
WR Good speed but no agreement on this group
1 Corey Davis Western Michigan 6-3 213 R1
4y starter 97c 16 Good size & spd NFL body but has avg hands.
2 Mike Williams Clm 6-3 225 R1
2Y starter 98c 16 Missed 15 with inj.  Avg spd Great hands & ath
3 Curtis Samuel OhS 5-11 197 R1-2
RB or WR? Athl with speed but lacks prime hight & weight Great Acc & chg spd Inj Hist 15
4 Chris Godwin PnSt 6-1 205 R2
2y starter  Good spd & hands & ath 16.4 y/c
5 John Ross Wash 5-11 190 R1-2
Speed 4.22 40 but not the size or hands to be a 1st round pick.
WC JuJu Smith-Schuster USC 6-2 220 R2-3
2Y starter possession rec 4.54 spd
TE One of the best groups in the draft.
1 OJ Howard Alab 6-6 251 1=R1
2Y starter on a team not TE friendly Solid receiver that can block well.
2 Evan Engram Ole Miss 6-3 227 R1-2
3y starter More big WR than TE, Great spd 4.42 decent blocker for his size Good hands
3 David Njoku Miami Fla 6-4 245 R1
1y starter Good athl & decent blocker but has too many drops in my opinion
4 Gerald Everett So Alab 6-4 240 R2
2Y starter good spd but small hands.Deep threat  Decent blocker but some drops.
5 Bucky Hodges VTK 6-7 245 R2-3
3y starter fair spd & decent blocker Good hands real match up nightmare for LB or S
WC Adam Shaheen Ashland Col 6-6 278 R2-3
Could become an OT Small college player that will have to answer a lot of questions about level of competiton
OT Very shallow group
1 Cam Robinson Alab 6-6 322 R1-2
Pulling OT with quick feet solid vs run & pass Played LT for Bama
2 Ryan Ramczyk Wisc 6-6 310 R1-2
1 yr @ Wisc tranfer from D2 quick to 2nd level Ath & power Hip Inj may keep him out of 1st
3 Rod Johnson FlaSt 6-7 300 R1-2
3.5Y ST RT prosp Good blk run quick feet but struggles vs Quick PR.
4 Garrett Bolles Utah 6-5 300 R1-2
Trns 1Y st Ut 2y out FB. Quick & agile but lacks Tech
5 Taylor Morton W Mich 6-5 325 R2
4Y ST good drive blk Will play RT or RG.  Waist bender fair blk pass.
WC Antonio Garcia Troy 6-6 302 R3
4Y ST in small school Needs more Stg but good pass prot
OG  Limited group with a few good players
1 Forrest Lamp W Ky 6-4 309 R1-2
4Y ST @ LT conv to LG due to short arms. Smart & good tech & quick feet
2 Dion Dawkins Temple 6-4 314 R2
3Y ST @ LT Nasty blocker w/power needs better tech
3 Dan Feeney Ind 6-4 305 R2
4Y ST @ RG good pwr Solid vs run & pass Missed 13 w/Lisfranc inj
4 Dorlan Johnson Pitt 6-5 300 R2
4Y ST No fat body smart finishes blocks but needs better tech
5 Isaac Asiata Utah 6-3 323 R2-3
2.5Y ST Top heavy & fails to get to 2nd level Good burst & power Needs tech help
WC Nico Siragusa SDSt 6-4 319 R3-4
Good body Lite feet Not quick @ snap & tends to hold  Interesting player with upside
C Thin group due to spread O in colleges
1 Pat Elflein OhSt 6-3 303 R3
4y st Rimington Win Good pwr & stg Quick Good hands Gets 2nd level
2 Ethan Pocic LSU 6-6 310 R3
3y st Good spd & power Eff @ 2nd level good run blocker needs help vs pass
3 Kyle Fuller Baylor 6-5 307 R3
good pass blk but needs work on Run blocking.
4 Tyler Orlosky WV 6-3 298 R3-4
3Y ST Quick off ball, but has stiff lower body Struggles in space.
5 Cameron Tom So Miss 6-3 291 R5
4y st T Leader, solid run @ 2nd level Too thin needs more stg. Better @ Zone block
WC Jon Toth Ky 6-5 307 R5
4y st Versital C or G & smart & 48 cons starts. Lacks pwr
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  • Author:
  • Published: Sep 22nd, 2016
  • Category: NFL Football
  • Comments: Comments Off on If Black lives matter, why don’t those killed in Chicago matter?

If Black lives matter, why don’t those killed in Chicago matter?

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Black lives matter 

Understand that I believe any death of an innocent person is tragic.  But I think that Colin Kaepernick and others (black lives matter) are wrong about what is preventing them from standing at the National Anthem.  If they were being honest, they would realize that the number of police shootings of innocent Black men is very small compared to the number of Black men, women and children gunned down in our inner cities like Chicago.

The number of killings of Blacks in Chicago so far this year has topped the total of last year in just over 9 months.  By far the majority of killings of Blacks in Chicago and other major cities in the US are done by other Blacks.  If Kaepernick and others were protesting that, I would be supporting them.  Those people are the ones that are suffering the loss of members of their families.  Those are the families I feel sorry for.

There are many reasons why that is happening in our major cities but that is not the point here.  The point is this—Black lives do matter no matter who causes the death.  That is something that I believe every American could get behind.   Let’s not forget the genocide going on in far too many inner cities.  That has to be the primary focus of all of us.

That is what I think.  Tell us what you think by commenting here or tweeting me @NNRonDSN.

NOTE:  On NNR Samantha Bunten of NBC Sports and I discussed the news of the day and the NFC Free agent signings with grades.

NOTE:  News, Notes and Rumors podcast are BACK.  Check out our thoughts on Fridays about the games coming up and Monday on the results of the weekend.  My co-host is Samantha Bunten of NBC Sports.  Podcasts can be heard on http://fryingpansports.com/radio-show/. Thanks for your support.

Bill Smith is a former coach of several semi-pro teams, has officiated both football and basketball, done color on radio for college football and basketball and has scouted talent. He edits http://fryingpansports.com.  He has also published several novels on and a non-fiction work at http://www.merriam-press.com/.  Follow him on twitter @NNRonDSN to get the schedule of Special News, Notes and Rumors broadcasts.  You can hear the previous shows on http://fryingpansports.com/radio-show/.

He also edits http://fryingpanpolitics.org/.  

To keep up with the News, Notes & Rumors podcasts, follow me on twitter @NNRonDSN.

 

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  • Author:
  • Published: Dec 9th, 2015
  • Category: NFL Football
  • Comments: Comments Off on Did the Eagles show the NFL how to beat the Patriots?

Did the Eagles show the NFL how to beat the Patriots?

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Pats Eagles

NOTE: On NNR Samantha Bunten of NBC Sports and I discussed the news of the day, injuries from the previous week, and reviewed all of this week’s games including a detailed analysis of the Browns game.

According to the “experts” the Eagles used a well proven system to beat the Patriots. It was the same game plan that the Giants used to beat New England in 2 Super Bowls. The Eagle D put pressure on Patriots QB Tom Brady. At the same time the defensive backs were staying close to the Pat receivers. That forced Brady to hold the ball just a little longer and contributed to 4 sacks.

That is all very nice BUT it had very little to do with the win. It really helped the Eagles that Brady lost all of his veteran receivers. The newbies were wearing “Hello, my name is” tags on their uniforms.

But that was not the key factor as well.

The newbies could not get any separation from the Eagle DBS. It was not so much that the backs did such a good job covering but it was that the WRS were not good enough to get open. But that was not the key either.

The O line was populated by guys that needed to introduce themselves to Brady in the first huddle. Of course a veteran D line was able to get pressure on Brady because the O line was trying to figure out who to block. But even that is not the key to the Eagle win.

What happened was that the Eagles got 3 non-offensive touchdowns which led them to the win. That is all any team has to do to beat the Patriots. Good luck to the teams that face Brady and the Patriots. It is going to be hard to beat them.

That is what I think. Tell us what you think by commenting here or tweeting me @NNRonDSN.

NOTE: News, Notes and Rumors podcast are BACK. Check out our thoughts on Fridays about the games coming up and Monday on the results of the weekend. My co-host is Samantha Bunten of NBC Sports. Podcasts can be heard on http://fryingpansports.com/radio-show/. Thanks for your support.

Bill Smith is a former coach of several semi-pro teams, has officiated both football and basketball, done color on radio for college football and basketball and has scouted talent. He edits http://fryingpansports.com. He has also published several novels on and a non-fiction work at http://www.merriam-press.com/. Follow him on twitter @NNRonDSN to get the schedule of Special News, Notes and Rumors broadcasts. You can hear the previous shows on http://fryingpansports.com/radio-show/.

He also edits http://fryingpanpolitics.org/.

To keep up with the News, Notes & Rumors podcasts, follow me on twitter @NNRonDSN.

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  • Author:
  • Published: Dec 2nd, 2015
  • Category: NFL Football
  • Comments: Comments Off on Austin Davis is the right QB to start this week.

Austin Davis is the right QB to start this week.

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BrnBen

NOTE: On NNR Samantha Bunten of NBC Sports and I discussed the news of the day and detailed the Browns loss to the Ravens including the details of the blocked field goal attempt.

Austin Davis has a 3 year deal and had more starts than Johnny Manziel. He is at the least a solid backup QB and at best perhaps a part time starter. He has an NFL arm but not a cannon. He sees the field and reads defenses fairly well. And the most significant advantage he has over Manziel is that he has not lied to the coaching staff.

The last statement is most significant. Even if Manziel was on the field a clone of Cam Newton the fact is that he can not be trusted to become the face of the franchise. Manziel has been coddled his entire life. That has resulted in an attitude that he can get away with almost anything including lying to the staff.

Often a person who goes into rehab is not able to sustain a clean life after resuming their lives. It often takes 3 or 4 trips to rehab to over come their addiction. When that person has been able to avoid punishment for his indiscretions it could even require more treatment.

The bottom line is Manziel is not an NFL quality starting QB. My opinion is shared by a number of better known NFL analysts. He would be better off with a new team. He has burned too many bridges in Cleveland. Admittedly he has progressed this season. But he will never put in the work to fully develop his talent because he is as interested in being a celebrity as he is a football player. As long as that is the case he will ever even become as good as he could be. That also means he will never succeed in the NFL.

That is what I think. Tell us what you think by commenting here or tweeting me @NNRonDSN.

NOTE: News, Notes and Rumors podcast are BACK. Check out our thoughts on Fridays about the games coming up and Monday on the results of the weekend. My co-host is Samantha Bunten of NBC Sports. Podcasts can be heard on http://fryingpansports.com/radio-show/. Thanks for your support.

Bill Smith is a former coach of several semi-pro teams, has officiated both football and basketball, done color on radio for college football and basketball and has scouted talent. He edits http://fryingpansports.com. He has also published several novels on and a non-fiction work at http://www.merriam-press.com/. Follow him on twitter @NNRonDSN to get the schedule of Special News, Notes and Rumors broadcasts. You can hear the previous shows on http://fryingpansports.com/radio-show/.

He also edits http://fryingpanpolitics.org/.

To keep up with the News, Notes & Rumors podcasts, follow me on twitter @NNRonDSN.

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  • Author:
  • Published: Nov 26th, 2015
  • Category: College Football
  • Comments: Comments Off on Joey Bosa is off my draft board.

Joey Bosa is off my draft board.

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Joey Bosa Ohio State buckeyes

Joey Bosa Ohio State buckeyes

NOTE: On NNR Samantha Bunten of NBC Sports and I discussed the news of the day, injuries from the previous week, and previewed all of this week’s games including a detailed analysis of the Browns game.

Like most Ohio State fans, I was disappointed at the loss to the Spartans. But more than anything else I was shocked to see Joey Bosa fail to perform in the 1st big game of the season. For those of us that are draft-nicks, one thing that predicts failure in the NFL is failure in big games in college. A stiff can look good playing against the Sisters of the Perpetually Miserable. But how a player preforms against a big time opponent has always been an indicator of how that player would fair at the next level.

Bosa did nothing in the MSU game. That is all I needed to see to take him off my board. He might turn out to be a good or even great player. But I can not risk taking a player like that with a top 5 pick in the draft.

Samantha Bunten of NBC Sport and I wish each of you a wonderful Thanksgiving.

That is what I think. Tell us what you think by commenting here or tweeting me @NNRonDSN.

NOTE: News, Notes and Rumors podcast are BACK. Check out our thoughts on Fridays about the games coming up and Monday on the results of the weekend. My co-host is Samantha Bunten of NBC Sports. Podcasts can be heard on http://fryingpansports.com/radio-show/. Thanks for your support.

Bill Smith is a former coach of several semi-pro teams, has officiated both football and basketball, done color on radio for college football and basketball and has scouted talent. He edits http://fryingpansports.com. He has also published several novels on and a non-fiction work at http://www.merriam-press.com/. Follow him on twitter @NNRonDSN to get the schedule of Special News, Notes and Rumors broadcasts. You can hear the previous shows on http://fryingpansports.com/radio-show/.

He also edits http://fryingpanpolitics.org/.

To keep up with the News, Notes & Rumors podcasts, follow me on twitter @NNRonDSN.

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