• Author:
  • Published: Feb 9th, 2015
  • Category: NFL Football
  • Comments: Comments Off on 2014 Browns Autopsy today on NNR

2014 Browns Autopsy today on NNR

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Note: On NNR today Samantha Bunten of NBC Sports & I reviewed the Browns 2014 season and discussed the needs of the team in the draft and free agency for 2015. The podcast is on http://fryingpansports.com/radio-show/.

ESPN Cleveland’s Tony Grossi has talked about covering the Browns in terms of the 100 years’s war. Unless the Browns are able to convince a veteran QB to come, they will be forced to start Johnny Manziel or a rookie QB in 2015. That could well make the 100 year’s war seem like a weekend in Vermont.

There is almost no chance that the Browns can bring in a quality veteran QB in giving the reputation of instability and lack of solid wide receivers. But there is no chance to bring a quality WR in without a solid QB to throw to him. The best chance the Browns have is to trade for a QB under contract then recruit a veteran WR.

My first choice would be to trade with the Titans for QB Zack Mettenberger. He played college ball at LSU in a pro style offense. He is 24 years old and started 6 games for the Titans. If they decide to take a QB with their 2nd overall pick, he could be available. He has a very strong arm, decent mechanics and the problems off the field were several years ago.

The 2nd choice would be Bear’s QB Jay Cutler. This prospect has a million dollar arm but has not produced enough to justify his 7 year $126,700,000 dollar contract. But the lack of wins is not all on him. His O line has been pathetic. His mechanics suffered due to the lack of protection. He could welcome a trade to a team with a good to very good O line. The money should not be a problem for the Browns. Their cap hit will be 15.5 million because the Bears have to assume the cap hit for the signing bonus. He is 31 but is signed through 2020.

My thrid choice would be the often injured Ram QB Sam Bradford. While he has had injury issues, because they are not concussions, there is hope that he may regain his health and have a productive career. A part of his injury history are due to a less than stellar O line. He will be only 28 in 2015 which should give him a number of years to play for the Browns. The downside of trading for Bradford is that he is only under contract through 2015. That would require the Browns to be able to resign him to a long term contract. If he likes Cleveland and the team, that should not be a problem. However, due to the hard schedule the Browns win total will be down considerably.

With the last 2 prospects the Browns should be able to recruit a quality veteran WR or two. Otherwise, there is very little chance the team will get a veteran WR with 2nd WR skills.

But we know the Browns will hesitate to pull the trigger on this big a deal. Good luck with Johnny Football leading the team against the AFC and NFC west teams.

That is what I think. Tell us what you think by commenting here or tweeting me @NNRonDSN.

NOTE: News, Notes and Rumors podcast are BACK. Check out our thoughts on Fridays about the games coming up and Monday on the results of the weekend. My co-host is Samantha Bunten of NBC Sports. Podcasts can be heard on http://fryingpansports.com/radio-show/. Thanks for your support.

Bill Smith is a former coach of several semi-pro teams, has officiated both football and basketball, done color on radio for college football and basketball and has scouted talent. He edits http://fryingpansports.com. He has also published several novels on and a non-fiction work at http://www.merriam-press.com/. Follow him on twitter @NNRonDSN to get the schedule of Special News, Notes and Rumors broadcasts. You can hear the previous shows on http://fryingpansports.com/radio-show/.

He also edits .

To keep up with the News, Notes & Rumors podcasts, follow me on twitter @NNRonDSN.

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  • Author:
  • Published: Oct 23rd, 2013
  • Category: NFL Football
  • Comments: Comments Off on News, Notes & Rumors for week 7

News, Notes & Rumors for week 7

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nfl

 

NOTE:  Check out the live News, Notes and Rumors show on Monday and Friday at 6 PM Eastern on The Bill Smith Radio Show or the archive of the shows on http://fryingpansports.com/radio-show/.  On Monday Samantha Bunten of NBC Sports and I discuss the Browns game and the results of the weekend.  On Friday Tony Williams Giants beat writer for Metro New York joins Samantha and me to preview the upcoming games.

 

News:

Rams QB Sam Bradford suffered a torn ACL and will be lost for the season.  The only other QB on the team is Kellen Clemens so the team will need to find one.

 

Bears QB Jay Cutler left the game with a muscle tear in his groin.  Backup Josh McCown played well in his absence.  The injury to Cutler will keep him out for at least a month.  The Bears are thinking of signing QB Josh Palmer.  They also lost LB Lance Briggs.

 

Bengals top CB Leon Hall suffered an Achilles’ tendon injury.  If it is torn he would miss the rest of the season.

 

The Eagles lost QB Nick Foles to a groin injury but Mike Vick should be able to play next week.  That is a good thing for the team since QB Matt Barkley threw 3 interceptions.

 

Colt WR Reggie Wayne suffered an ALC tear and is out for the year.  At 35 it is not certain if he will try to return next season.

 

Ravens RB Bernard Pierce suffered a leg injury which is not considered serious.

 

Texans LB Brian Cushing suffered a torn LCL and broken leg.  He tweeted he would be back.

 

Redskin S Brandon Meriweather has been suspended for 2 games for illegal hits.  He has appealed the suspension and it will be heard soon.

 

The NFL lost two of the old timers in the league.  Titans owner Bud Adams and former Oiler coach Oail Andrew “Bum” Phillips Jr., both 90 years old, died this past weekend.

 

 

 

Notes:

Jets 30 Patriots 27 OT – The Jet defense harassed QB Tom Brady all afternoon.  The Jet D held Brady and the Pat O to 1 of 12 third down conversions.  Despite the 3rd down failures the Pats built a 21-10 lead at half time.  QB Geno Smith was 17-33 with a TD and a pick.  He looked sharp.  The Jets traded with the Saints to get RB Chris Ivory.  He proved his worth for the first time this season running for 104 yards on 34 attempts.

 

Cowboys 17 Eagles 3 – While QB Foles may have looked like a legitimate starter in Chip Kelly’s O last week, that was the defenseless Buccaneers.  Against the Boys, Foles was exposed.  He was slow to react and make down field reads.  He lacks the speed to challenge the D outside on the zone read.  That hurts the run up the middle and allows the D to play man to man.  He also struggled badly with accuracy.  The Boys were not an offensive juggernaut either against one of the worst defenses in the league.  The Boys scored just 3 points in the first half.  That was bad but the Eagles scored just 3 points for the game.

 

Steelers 19 Ravens 16 – The Ratbirds still have not solved their O issues.  All of the Raven stats look decent but QB Joe Flacco could not make the play at the critical time.  The Raven O line struggles to handle a blitz.  The pressure forced Flacco to move and that is not his strength.  The Steeler O was not much better.  They also moved the ball between the 20s but failed to get it into the endzone.

 

Bills 23 Dolphins 21 – QB Ryan Tannehill threw 3 TDs but also lost a fumble and threw 2 interceptions including a pick 6.  The Fish O could not stay on the field converting just 3 of 13 third down attempts.  Bills QB Thad Lewis was just OK but threw for 202 yards without a TD and one pick.  The game turned on Lewis leading two scoring drives in the 4th quarter for field goals.  Starting on his 26 Lewis led the Bills for a field goal early in the 4th quarter to bring the score to MI 21 BF 20.  Tannehill was not able to increase the lead.  When he was sacked he fumbled late in the 4th.   DE Kyle Williams recovered at the Miami 34.  Lewis drove the team to the 13 for the final kick to win.

 

Redskins 45 Bears 41 – The Bears not only lost their QB early in game, they lost their lead in the NFC North.  But it was not QB Josh McCown that let the Bears down.  It was the Bear D that caused the loss.  The D gave up 499 yards including 209 on the ground.  Time will tell if this was a one time thing or an indication the Bears are a pretender.  Redskin QB Robert Griffin is looking better every week.  With just under 4 minutes left the Bears led 41-38.  RG3 drove the Skins on an 80 yard drive and scored on a run with just 45 second left for the winning TD.

 

Packers 31 Browns 13 – Browns O was offensive in a bad way.  Check out my in game notes right below this article on http://fryingpansports.com/.

 

 

Rumors:

Texans owner Bob McNair gave head coach Gary Kubiak the feared “vote of confidence” after the team almost upset the undefeated Chiefs.

 

The Rams may have lost Bradford due to a punch.  Earlier in the game OT Chris Long was ejected because of an alleged punch.  On the play on which Bradford was hurt he was forced out of the pocket due to the pass rush.  He was hit on the sideline and is out for the season.

 

The Bronco loss to the Colts showed the two major flaws in their game.  First the O line is below average but has been disguised by Payton Manning’s quick release.  This loss also showed that the Bronco D is not as strong as it appeared.

 

Mike Florio reports that Jags WR Justin Blackmon could be traded by Oct. 29th the trading deadline.  There are several teams that have lost WRs or need another one.  Those rumors also include a possible trade of Browns WR Josh Gordon who will be suspended for at least a year if he fails another drug test.  NBC Sports Pro Football Talk reports the Gordon trade is not “probable.”

 

Despite a near record level of ineptness in his game Monday night, Vikings Coach Leslie Frazier said QB Josh Freeman could start Sunday against the Packers.

 

Browns coach Rob Chudzinski announced that Jason Campbell will be the starter against the Chiefs Sunday.

 

 

 

That’s what I think.  Tell me what you think.

 

Bill Smith is a former coach of several semi-pro teams, has officiated both football and basketball, done color on radio for college football and basketball and has scouted talent. He edits http://fryingpansports.com.  He has also published several novels on and a non-fiction work at http://www.merriam-press.com/.  Follow him on twitter @NNRonDSN to get the schedule of Special News, Notes and Rumors broadcasts.  You can hear the previous shows on http://fryingpansports.com/radio-show/ and the live show Mondays at 6 PM Eastern time on The Bill Smith Radio Show.  

He also edits .  

To keep up with the News, Notes & Rumors podcasts, follow me on twitter @NNRonDSN.

 

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Why Stanford QB Luck will not be a Colt in 2012

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There is a lot of talk in the sports world about which NFL team will by Luck(y).  Most people believe that the winner (by losing) will be either the Rams, the Dolphins or the Colts.  None of those teams have won a game so far.

The Dolphins – This team is struggling with bad coaching, no QB and a D that is constantly being put in bad field position by
turnovers.  The Fish would love to have Luck and he would love to play for them.   The coach is history after the season.
Having the first choice would allow the Fish to attract a top HC prospect.  It is likely the Fish will be in the battle for the top draft choice all season long.

The Rams – This is the only team that will likely trade the pick.  They have Bradford and are happy with him when he is healthy.
They have multiple issues on the O line and D that could be filled by the draft choices or young veterans they should get from trading the rights to Luck.  This deal will be made BEFORE the draft and not after they take Luck.  If they have both Luck and Bradford on the roster their negotiating power goes down not up.

The Colts – Most people are thinking that the Colts are the worst team in the league and will take Luck.  What they are missing is this—Luck does not want to sit for 4 or 5 years behind Payton Manning.  If the Colts end up with the 1st pick, I predict Luck will stay in school another year.  He is a red shirt Junior and can opt to come out for the draft or stay for another year.   He likes school and the college game.
While there is a risk staying in college, Luck is the closest thing to a sure thing and will not fall like Jake Locker did.  But having sat for a year in college I believe Luck will not want to sit for multiple years behind Manning.

 

That is what I think.  Tell us what you think.

Bill Smith is a former coach of several semi-pro teams, has officiated both football and basketball, done color
on radio for
college football and basketball and has scouted talent. 
He is a senior writer for and edits http://fryingpansports.com. He has also published several novels on http://www.eBooks-Library.com/Contemporary/ and a non-fiction work at http://www.merriam-press.com/.

He edits .

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First round QBs in the NFL Draft may disappear.

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Not that long ago most NFL teams gave a rookie QB 2 or 3 years to mature and learn the game. However, that has changed in recent years and it may be changing again.

First round QBs are expected to start quickly and some of them are able to do that. The recent success of Roethlisberger (PT), Sanchez (NJ), and Ryan (AT) make us forget the list of those that have crashed and burned in recent years.

We start with 2007 because it is too soon to evaluate players being a bust from the 08 or 09 drafts.

2007-1st pick JaMarcus Russell Oakland Russell has thrown a total of 18 TDs and 23 picks since joining the league. He has a career passer rating of 65.2. In the 2010 draft the team traded for Campbell to replace him.

2007-22nd pick Brady Quinn Cleveland He didn’t get thrown into the game immediately but that still didn’t help him. In 3 years he had a rating of 66.8. He was traded to Denver this year for a bucket of water. They were so impressed with Quinn that they used a 1st round pick on QB Tim Tebow.

2006-3rd pick Vince Young Tennessee His first 2 years he was the starter and had passer ratings of 66.7 and 71.1. He got benched in 08 and the first part of 09 but came back after learning a little more about the game and had some success.

2006-10 Matt Leinart Arizona He started in game 5 of 06 and threw 11 TDs but 12 picks. He ended that year with a QBR of 74. He was named the starter in 07 but was done after 5 games with a QBR of 61.9. He has started 1 game since. He will have to fight for the job this year because the Cards traded for Anderson after Kurt Warner retired.

2006-11th Jay Cutler Denver Cutler was quite successful in his first 3 years with QBRs of 88.5, 88.1 and 86.0 before wearing out his welcome forcing a trade to Chicago. There he threw 27 TDs but 26 picks and a QBR of a mediocre 76.8.

2005-1st overall Alex Smith San Francisco Smith started the last 5 games of 05 and all of 06. But 7 games into 07 he was pulled for an undrafted FA. Even with a QBR in 09 of 81.5 his career number is 69.2. In his first 3 seasons he threw 19 TDs but 31 picks.

2005-25th Jason Campbell Washington Campbell sat out 05 but started 7 games in 06, 13 games in 07 and every game since. Despite improving his stats each year, he was traded to the Raiders this season for a 4th round pick in 2012. That is the equivalent of a 6th round pick this draft.

So in the 3 seasons we looked at, there were 7 first round QBs picked and only Cutler has been successful enough to be named a replacement pro bowler after a couple of others backed out. Young may be on the upswing after sitting for a year and a half. The rest were pretty much busts. Those busts set their teams back several seasons except the Cards that had future Hall of Fame QB Warner in reserve.

So what is the problem? There are several factors that are making the drafting of a QB in the first round less likely now and perhaps prohibitive in the near future.

The first cause is cost. The price of a QB as the 1st pick in 2010 will be 50 million in cash guarantees. Bradford will get that even if he never plays a down for the Rams. The Rams were willing to take offers to trade down but even in an uncapped year there were no serious bids for the pick.

The more pressing issue is the spread offense of the College game. More and more college teams are using a version of the spread and QBs that play 3 or 4 years in that system are not at all prepared to come to the NFL.

The pass patterns that the spread runs are very limited. The most frequent pattern is the bubble screen. There are very few teams that use the route tree like that of the NFL. The favorite pattern in the NFL is the skinny post. Very few college QBs even know what that is.

WRs are wide open in college but are not open at all in the NFL. As a result, QBs are not forced to make the throw to the back shoulder of a WR. There is accuracy in college but that does not relate to accuracy in the NFL.

The average QB is in the shotgun 90+ percent of the time. They never have to worry about the 3, 5, and 7 step drop back. Footwork is critical to accuracy and almost none of the QBs coming into the league have consistent footwork.

The CBs that an NFL QB faces every week are better than any that a college QB in his career. The college kid has seldom seen a rotating zone or combination man/zone D. Those are used every week in the NFL.

The worst part of the spread is that QBs never have to make more than 2 reads of the defense. Bradford was not even looking at the D prior to the snap. He was always looking for the coach’s call from the sideline. It takes time to learn to do pre-snap reads. An NFL QB has to know where the pressure is likely to originate and has to adjust to it.

The more the rookie 1st round QBs cost the more pressure there is to put them under center Day 1. But given the complexities of the NFL defenses and the lack of NFL offenses in college, the more expensive QB is less prepared to come into the league.

That’s what I think. Tell me what you think.

Bill Smith is a former coach of several semi-pro teams, has officiated both football and basketball, done color on radio for college football and basketball and has scouted talent. He is a senior writer for and edits http://fryingpansports.com. He is a regular contributor on Cleveland Sports Radio http://www.sportstalkcleveland.com/ Monday afternoons at 1 Eastern. He has also published several novels on

and edits .

Technorati Tags: NFL Draft,NFL Draft grades,Bradford,Tebow,Russell,Campbell,Roethlisberger,Sanchez,Ryan,Quinn,Young,Leinart,Cutler,Smith,49ers,Browns,Steelers,Falcons,Jets,Raiders,Redskins,Bears,Bron
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  • Author:
  • Published: Apr 15th, 2010
  • Category: NFL Football
  • Comments: Comments Off on Should the Browns trade up for Bradford?

Should the Browns trade up for Bradford?

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Browns

The latest rumor on the draft boards is that the Browns are negotiating with the Rams to get the #1 pick. It seems that GM Tom Heckard and his team were reportedly suggesting the deal to management. Holmgren put a wet towel on the talk and said today that the cost is just too high. But that doesn’t mean it is totally off the table but may be just under the table cloth. There are several issues here and we will look at all of them.

The Browns considerations for doing the deal:

1. There is no question that the team needs a QB. Delhomme is not the long term answer and may not be a short term answer unless he quits throwing the ball to the other team. There are not any NFL starting quality QBs on the roster now. They could use Bradford.

2. The deal would give the fans some hope. That is something that they have not had in a long time. There was a small percentage of the fans that were excited about the hire of Mangini but that did not turn out well. Most were more excited about the signing of Holmgren. He at least had a good track record as a coach. But he is not the Browns’ coach–he is the Czar. He had those same responsibilities at Seattle but was stripped of the GM duties after a less than stellar series of drafts. I have detailed those choices here before.

3. If they are going to get the #1 pick the best time to do that is in a non-capped year. There is no cap hit for the guaranteed money in 2010. However, they will have to structure his deal in a way to reduce the hit in future years because there will be a cap with any new CBA. DeMaurice Smith and the NFLPA will demand it and any 2010 signing bonus will be spread over the future years.

4. Holmgren is not getting any younger and he has maybe 5 more years to turn this franchise around. The existing QBs on the team are not going to do that. A new one is needed and it must be a can’t miss guy. Holmgren has only one bite at the apple in terms of bringing in a QB to become the face of the franchise.

The Browns considerations for not doing the deal:

1. The cost in terms of draft choices is high particularly to a team that needs so much help in so many areas. The question is how much better would the team be with Bradford vs having Colt McCoy plus 2 other top players?

2. Bradford is not likely to start in the first half of 10 even if he is the first pick. If the team stays at 7 and 38, they should get 2 instant starters unless one pick is another QB. They need so much that 2 starters this year could make a big difference.

The Rams considerations for doing the deal:

1. With the ownership up in the air due to a possible sale of the team, two high first round picks next year could add value to the team.

2. Trading down this year could save the franchise some money. Given the fact that there may be no games next year, that is important.

The Rams considerations for not doing the deal:

1. While a pair of high picks next year is nice, the team would be a lot more valuable with anyone that can spell the word quarterback. At this point, there is not someone like that on the roster. Bradford is a draw and would renew fan interest in the team. Unless this team can rekindle fan interest, it could end up back in LA soon.

2. The risk of trading away a Payton Manning is huge. If they do the deal and Bradford turns out to be a future all pro, the fans in St. Louis will never forgive the team. The Browns know all about trading potential franchise QBs–they traded away 2 of them last year alone.

The bottom line:

I don’t think the deal will happen. The Browns could back out but it is just as likely that the Rams will want to keep the pick and take Bradford.

That’s what I think. Tell me what you think.

Bill Smith is a former coach of several semi-pro teams, has officiated both football and basketball, done color on radio for college football and basketball and has scouted talent. He is a senior writer for and edits http://fryingpansports.com. He is a regular contributor on Cleveland Sports Radio http://www.sportstalkcleveland.com/ Monday afternoons at 1 Eastern. He has also published several novels on

and edits .

Technorati Tags: NFL,NFL Draft,Browns,Holmgren,DeMaurice Smith,NFLPA,Rams,Bradford,draft choice,draft choice value chart
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  • Author:
  • Published: Dec 28th, 2009
  • Category: NFL Football
  • Comments: Comments Off on What to look for in College Bowl games upcoming.

What to look for in College Bowl games upcoming.

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football

INDEPENDENCE BOWL Texas A&M 6-5 Georgia 7-5

This is the battle of the bad defenses. TAM’s D gave up 33 points per game. Georgia has already fired all of their D coaches and is giving up 26 points per game. The key to a win will be which O takes maximum advantage of the faltering D.

The Dogs have finished up wining 3 of their last 4 but have had a bad year overall. Their O depends on the ability to run the ball. The Georgia RBs Early and King keyed the upset of Georgia Tech gaining over 300 yards rushing between them. QB Cox has been up and down throwing 22 TDs but also 14 picks. He had only 76 yards passing against GT.

TAM QB Johnson is outstanding. He has thrown for over 3000 yards with 28 TDs and only 6 picks. WR Nwachukwu is the deep threat averaging 18 yards per catch and 6 TDs. The question is can the O line protect Johnson long enough to let Nwachukwu go long.

Georgia has had a slightly better season and should win in a shootout.

EagleBank BOWL UCLA 6-6 Temple 9-3

Temple coach Al Golden has the team in its first bowl game in 30 years. He is now a very hot coaching prospect for “real” football schools. The Owls ripped off 9 straight wins before losing to Ohio U in their last game. They depend on the ground game to move the chains. Freshman RB Pierce is the star. Despite missing a chunk of the year from a shoulder injury he gained 1308 yards and scored 15 TDs.

The Pac10 has struggled in the Bowls so far. UCLA is not a great representative but should win this one. They have been a very inconsistent team this year in part due to injuries. They have talent but too often make critical errors leading to defeats. They went 3-0 to open the year only to drop their next 5.

Their D is led by 3 All Americans S Moore, CB Verner and DT Price. The talent on D should be too much for the Owls and UCLA wins in a close one.

MPS SPORTS BOWL 15 Miami 9-3 25 Wisconsin 9-3

This is one of the more interesting matchups. It will match the Badger running game with RB star John Clay against an improving Hurricane D. The Badgers will have to put pressure on Miami QB Harris who has come a long way since the beginning of the season. He has become a threat but in the last couple of games has been bitten by the turnover bug. Miami is favored but I think Wisconsin grinds out a win by keeping Harris and company off the field.

HUMANITARIAN BOWL Bowling Green 7-5 Idaho 7-5

Idaho has to stop the passing game of Sheehan to Barnes. WR Barnes has been outstanding with 1551 yards in receiving with 16 TDs. Sheenhan has become a potential draft choice in his final year with the help of Barnes.

Idaho has lost 3 of the last 4. The Vandals depend on their O to offset an inconsistent D. QB Enderly has been solid with 2666 yards, 18 TDs and 9 picks. RB Woolridge has scored 16 TDs with an 5.8 yard average.

Look for BG to win the game.

HOLIDAY BOWL 20 Arizona 8-4 22 Nebraska 9-4

The Huskers were a questionable call by a zebra from the biggest upset in the storied history of the school against Texas. The Nebraska D held the Texas O in check most of the game. They won the Big 12 North for the first time since 06. They are second in scoring D allowing just 11.8 points per game.

The Huskers sputter on O depending on the Black Shirt D to keep the score low. The team is 84th in the country in scoring. All American DT Suh should be a top 3 pick in the 2010 NFL Draft.

Arizona was in the Rose Bowl picture until a last minute loss to Oregon on 11/21. Then the win over Arizona State and USC was a positive end to their regular season. Arizona’s O is 40th in yards and is scoring nearly 30 a game. Both the passing of QB Foley and running of Antolin will be contained by the Husker D. Nebraska wins by more than the 1 point line.

SUN BOWL Oklahoma 7-5 21 Stanford 8-4

The Sooners have had a disastrous season after losing QB Bradford. Jones has filled in but has been erratic throwing 23 TDs and 13 picks. RBs Brown (4.1) and Murry (4.5) have not been able to replace the passing of Bradford. The Sooners are scoring 30 points per game. The Sooner D will have to try to slow down one of the best running games in the country in Stanford.

The Cardinal is 11th in rushing. RB Gerhart is averaging 5.6 per attempt and has scored 26 TDs. QB Luck is a better runner (5.8) than passer but takes maximum advantage of the opponent’s focus against the run. He has thrown for 2575 yards and 13 TDs with just 4 picks. The O needs to score a lot because the D gives up points like the Congress passes out money.

Oklahoma should be better in bowl games but have lost 5 of their last 6. But they are 10 point favorites. Look for them to shut down the running game and make Luck throw. The Sooners will win but it could be closer than 10.

INSIGHT BOWL Minnesota 6-6 Iowa State 6-6

This game could be the least interesting of the bowl season. Neither of these teams lived up to what the experts thought they would do this year. The Gophers are 3 point favorites but don’t look for a lot of top level offense. ISU is 102nd in scoring and the Gophers are 79th. Take the under at 49. Both QBs throw about as many TDs as picks and neither running game is solid.

Chick-fil-A BOWL 11 Virginia Tech 9-3 Tennessee 7-5

The best part of this game might be the Chick-fil-A commercials. The Vols have won 5 of 6 games since giving Alabama all they wanted in their game losing 12-10. The Vol D is coached by long time NFL DC Monte Kiffin. He has gotten a lot more out of the D than anyone expected. The D is led by S Berry, the Thrope winner. The O depends on the passing of QB Crompton who has thrown for 2565 yards and 26 TDs but has 12 picks.

VTk has played well and depends mostly on their rushing attack. They are 15th in the nation rushing and 32nd in scoring. RB Williams has averaged 5.7 per attempt and has scored 19 TDs.

VTk is a 6 point favorite but this game will be closer than that. The Kiffin D should hold the score down but Virginia Tech wins.

That’s what I think. Tell me what you think.

Bill Smith is a former coach of several semi-pro teams, has officiated both football and basketball, done color on radio for college football and basketball and has scouted talent. He is a senior writer for and edits http://fryingpansports.com. He has also published several novels on and edits .

Technorati Tags: ncaa Football,Bowl games,point spreads,Texas A&M,Georgia,Georgia Tech,UCLA,USC,Temple,Miami,Wisconsin,Bowling Green,Idaho,Arizona,Nebraska,Oklahoma,Stanford,Minnesota,Iowa State,Virginia Tech,Tennessee,Kiffin,NFL Draft,2010 NFL DRAFT
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