NFC Win projections from NNR podcast

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NFC EAST AFC West          
NFC West D N A E T
DA W6 @AT GB 4 3 3 1 11
WA W5 @NO MN 2 2 2 1 7
NY W8 @TB DT 4 2 2 2 10
PH W10 @CR CH 2 2 2 2 8
    12 9 9 6  
NFC North AFC North          
  NFC South D N A E T
GB W8 @DA SE 5 4 3 1 13
MN W9 @WA LR 4 2 2 2 10
DT W7 @NG AZ 3 1 1 0 5
CH W9 @PH SF 0 1 1 1 3
    12 8 7 4  
NFC South AFC East          
  NFC North D N A E T
AT W5 @SE DA 4 3 3 0 10
CR W11 @AZ PH 3 2 2 1 8
NO W5 @LR WA 3 2 2 2 9
TB W11 @SF NG 2 1 2 1 6
    12 8 9 4  
NFC West AFC South          
  NFC East D N A E T
SE W6 @GB AT 4 3 4 1 12
AZ W8 @DT TB 4 2 3 2 11
LR W8 @MN NO 2 2 2 0 6
SF W11 @CH CR 1 0 0 0 1
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Drafting QB Kizer was a good First step BUT…

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 DeShone Kizer was my top QB in a very weak class.  Clearly what happened to the Notre Dame program had a lot more to do with very bad coaching, even worse recruiting, and a brain-dead staff than what Kizer did or didn’t do.  But there are a bunch of issues that the Browns will have to address.

The first issue is Kizer’s mechanics.  A combination of a very pathetic O line, the lack of a consistent run game, and a group of wide receivers that couldn’t catch a cold standing naked in a sleet storm on Lake Michigan, his mechanics went south in a hurry.  But we saw him in 2015 and he as much better.

The question is can the Browns coaching staff get him back to his 2015 throwing motion and footwork?

The personnel department did a good job fixing the O line issues (except for RT) in free agency.  That was a good move because the O line in the draft was below average.  Kizer or whoever starts for the Browns will have better protection than last year.  That should also help the running game.  But this will be as difficult a test for the coaching staff as any they have faced last year.

If the staff can fix Kizer’s mechanics and footwork, he has the physical gifts to be an above average QB in the NFL.  If not, a new staff will have a chance next year to help him.  A 1 win season gives very little cover for this staff.

My last piece of advice for the Cleveland Browns coaching staff and personnel department is this:  Win some games BEFORE the London trip or you may be unemployed when you get home.

That is what I think.  Tell us what you think by commenting here or tweeting me @NNRonDSN.

NOTE:  News, Notes and Rumors podcast are BACK.  Check out our thoughts on Fridays about the games coming up and Monday on the results of the weekend.  My co-host is Samantha Bunten of NBC Sports.  Podcasts can be heard on http://fryingpansports.com/radio-show/. Thanks for your support.

Bill Smith is a former coach of several semi-pro teams, has officiated both football and basketball, done color on radio for college football and basketball and has scouted talent. He edits http://fryingpansports.com.  He has also published several novels on http://www.eBooks-Library.com/Contemporary/ and a non-fiction work at http://www.merriam-press.com/.  Follow him on twitter @NNRonDSN to get the schedule of Special News, Notes and Rumors broadcasts.  You can hear the previous shows on http://fryingpansports.com/radio-show/.

He also edits http://fryingpanpolitics.org/.  

To keep up with the News, Notes & Rumors podcasts, follow me on twitter @NNRonDSN.

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Cleveland Browns NFL Draft 2011 thru 2016

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2011 – Cleveland Browns
RD SEL # PLAYER POSITION SCHOOL
1 21 Phillip Taylor DT Baylor
Over drafted and over weight Played 4 seasons with CL out of FB. BUST!
2 37 Jabaal Sheard DE Pittsburgh
was drafted as a 4/3 end but CL changed to 3/4 & he was fish out of water. Starts for NE
2 59 Greg Little WR North Carolina
was released after 3 seaons was cut by 4 other teams as well. BUST
4 102 Jordan Cameron TE USC
Played 4 seasons for CL caught 80 balls in 13 but concussions limited him. Plays for MI now
4 124 Owen Marecic RB Stanford
Played 2 yrs with CL Avg 2.0 y/att not much of a blocker either.
5 137 Buster Skrine DB Tennessee-Chattanooga
Played 4 seasons for CL Started 2 spent too much time picking dasies to be resigned. NJ now.
5 150 Jason Pinkston T Pittsburgh
Played 1.5  seasons for CL Retired due to blood clots
7 248 Eric Hagg DB Nebraska
Too slow to be a S & too light to be LB. OUT OF FB.

2012 – Cleveland Browns
RD SEL # PLAYER POSITION SCHOOL
1 3 Trent Richardson RB Alabama
Traded in 13 to IN for a 1st round pick Failed with both teams never averaged 4y/at DOUBLE BUST.
1 22 Brandon Weeden QB Oklahoma State
St 15 games in 12, but just 10 after that with 3 teams. PR 76.0 C% 57.9 BUST
2 37 Mitchell Schwartz T California
Started 4 yrs for CL & 1 for KC.
3 87 John Hughes DT Cincinnati
played 5 yrs for CL Startg 10g picked up by TB in 16 & played 6 games CL should have kept Winn.
4 100 Travis Benjamin WR Miami (Fla.)
Played 4 s for CL catching 68 pass in 15 CL kept WR Hawkins Signed with SD & caught 48 in 16
4 120 James-Michael Johnson LB Nevada-Reno
Played half season for CL & 5 other teams BUST
5 160 Ryan Miller T Colorado
Played 1 season for CL with 0 starts. BUST
6 204 Emmanuel Acho LB Texas
Productive in Col but never played for CL. Was cut & picked up by PH Played 3 seasons there.
6 205 Billy Winn DT Boise State
Started 10 g in 12 but was reserve after that. Cut him & kept Hughes. Played for DV last year 2 starts.
7 245 Trevin Wade CB Arizona
Played just 1 year for CL then for 2 other teams WITH NG now.
7 247 Brad Smelley RB Alabama
played 2 games for CL & 2 for HO BUST
2013 – Cleveland Browns
RD SEL # PLAYER POSITION SCHOOL
1 6 Barkevious Mingo OLB LSU
Was too light to set the edge. Even NE couldn’t get anything out of him. CL traded him for a 5th round pick
3 68 Leon McFadden CB San Diego State
Barely a reserv, he was on 5 rosters BUST
6 175 Jamoris Slaughter SS Notre Dame
Never played with any team BUST
7 217 Armonty Bryant DE East Central (OK)
Sold marijuana to a narc but had talent. Cut in 16 after being suspended for PED. Played for DT in 16 3SAC
7 227 Garrett Gilkey G Chadron State
Cut before 13 season BUST

2014 – Cleveland Browns
RD SEL # PLAYER POSITION SCHOOL
1 8 Justin Gilbert CB Oklahoma State
Never saw a tackle he wanted to make. 0 heart Given to PT for 6th rnd pick in 18 cut by PT.
1 22 Johnny Manziel QB Texas A&M
Head case & drunk, TOTAL BUST.
2 35 Joel Bitonio T Nevada
Good talent that has been inj last 2 years.
3 71 Christian Kirksey OLB Iowa
Started in 16 Got 148 tackles for a team that was 31 vs run. Too many were 5yards down field.
3 94 Terrance West RB Towson
Played 1 year @ CL, went to TN then BA Started 13 games in 16.
4 127 Pierre Desir CB Lindenwood
Was cut after 2 seasons with CL Has now played for 4 teams in 3 years
fa Isaiah Crowell RB Alab St.
STARTER averaged 4.8 last yr despite no blocking on O line.

2015 – Cleveland Browns
RD SEL # PLAYER POSITION SCHOOL
1 12 Danny Shelton DT Washington
Finally got going after 1st year of little production
1 19 Cameron Erving T Florida State
Staff screwed him by playing 4 possions in 1st year BUST
2 51 Nate Orchard DE Utah
Played 3 games in 16 starting just 1. too light & needs more strength,  Can’t set the edge.
3 77 Duke Johnson RB Miami (Fla.)
3rd down RB with 114 c in 2 yrs. Good hands & 4.2 y/at runing.
3 96 Xavier Cooper DT Washington State
ST 2 game in 2 yrs with CL. Not much results for a 3rd round pick.
4 115 Ibraheim Campbell SAF Northwestern
Dasie picking S that has 0 ability to diagnoise plays St 9 gms in 2 years
4 123 Vince Mayle WR Washington State
WR that couldn’t catch. Never played for CL 3 teams in 2 years.
6 189 Charles Gaines CB Louisville
Never was that played 1 year for CL now on BF roster.
6 195 Malcolm Johnson TE Mississippi State
Star 5 games for CL 1 c 2y is now a RB for SE BUST
6 198 Randall Telfer TE USC
DNP in 15 but started 5 game in 16 2 catches 4y ACT
7 219 Hayes Pullard LB USC
Never played for CL Signed by JK & is currently with them.
7 241 Ifo Ekpre-Olomu CB Oregon
Good risk on a seriously injured but very talented player.

Cleveland Draft 2016
“1-15 Corey Coleman WR
Short without any route tree background
“2-32 Emmanuel Ogbah DE
Too light for a DE in a 3/4 & not athletic enough to play OLB.
“3-65 Carl Nassib DE
Too light for a DE in a 3/4 & not athletic enough to play OLB.
“3-76 Shon Coleman OT
Great story coming back from cancer but will he get it again? Late round pick /fa on my board
“3-93 Cody Kessler QB?
Too small with a weak arm. That does not work in Cleveland.
“4-99 Joe Schobert OLB
DE in college without speed to play OB in NFL.
“4-114 Ricardo Louis WR
Size & some speed Has potential but did not show it in 16
4-129 Derrick Kindred FS
Big hitter without the body to survive in NFL.
4-138 Seth Devalve TE
WAY too high for him FA at best.
5-154 Jordan Payton WR
Good hands but no speed. PED SUSPENSION
5-168 Spencer Drango OG
Can’t trust spread O linemen to be able to block in the NFL
5-172 Rashard Higgins WR
Pro style O with decent hands. Drop the “Hollywood” moniker
5-173 Trey Caldwell S
Undersized Under achiever FA at best
7-250 Scooby Wright ILB
Love his intangibles but has physical limitations.

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News Notes and Rumors Mock NFL Draft

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Mock NFL Draft

1 Cleveland Browns QB PR CB S Myles Garrett DE Texas A&M
2 San Francisco 49ers OLB DE T G QB Solomon Thomas DE Stanford
3 Chicago Bears PR CB S G T TE Jonathan Allen DE Alabama
4 Jacksonville Jaguars TE RB DT T G Leonard Fournette RB LSU
5 Tennessee Titans CB WR ILB Marshon Lattimore CB Ohio State
6 New York Jets QB OLB CB de Haason Reddick OLB Temple
7 Los Angeles Chargers S WR DE G T QB Malik Hooker S Ohio State
8 Carolina Panthers T DE RB CB Derek Barnett DE Tennessee
9 Cincinnati Bengals T G OLB PR RB Taco Charlton DE Michigan
10 Buffalo Bills CB S WR T Jamal Adams S LSU
11 New Orleans Saints CB S OLB WR Gareon Conley CB Ohio State
12 Cleveland Browns   O.J. Howard TE Alabama
13 Arizona Cardinals ILB QB S CB Corey Davis WR Western Michigan
14 Philadelphia Eagles ILB CB RB DE Reuben Foster ILB Alabama
15 Indianapolis Colts T G DE DT RB Malik McDowell DT Michigan St
16 Baltimore Ravens OLB WR CB S Zach Cunningham OLB Vandy
17 Washington Redskins ILB dt S RB T Caleb Brantley DT Florida
18 Tennessee Titans CB WR ILB CB Tre’Davious White CB LSU
19 Tampa Bay Buccaneers DE DT S RB OT Charles Harris DE Missouri
20 Denver Broncos T G ILB DE Cam Robinson T Alabama
21 Detroit Lions PR OLB WR G TE David Njoku TE Miami
22 Miami Dolphins OLB G CB S Jabrill Peppers LB/S Michigan
23 New York Giants LT ILB QB Ryan Ramczyk T Wisconsin
24 Oakland Raiders MLB DT CB OLB Jarrad Davis LB Florida
25 Houston Texans QB T G OLB Mitchell Trubisky QB North Carolina
26 Seattle Seahawks T G DT CB Kevin King CB Washington
27 Kansas City Chiefs ILB RB DT DE CB Dalvin Cook RB Florida St.
28 Dallas Cowboys CB S DE TE Marlon Humphrey CB Alabama
29 Green Bay Packers PR CB S RB Quincy Wilson CB Florida
30 Pittsburgh Steelers ILB OLB WR QB T.J. Watt OLB Wisconsin
31 Atlanta Falcons G DE DT CB S Pat Elflein g Ohio State
*32 New Orleans Saints CL 33 &#5 Deshaun Watson QB Clemson

*Saints trade the 32nd pick to Cleveland for pick 33 & their 5th round pick.

 

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Last Chance for Analytics

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For Browns fans, these are the times that try men’s souls.  This Browns front office has 1 more chance to turn the team around or it will be gone.  I believe that HC Jackson has some time but not the front office.

My experience tells me when someone thinks they are the smartest guy in the room, very often they are not even in the running.  The Browns Front office is trying something different—Analytics.  The do think they are smarter than the rest of the league.  While Analytics works in baseball or basketball, it will not work in football.

One of the things that analytics suggests is trade down to get more draft picks.  That might work if the front office had any idea what they are doing with the extra picks.  Last Monday we detailed the picks that this administration made in 2016.  None of them were ranked in the top 60 in terms of production.  This year began with that same FO failing to get a deal with Pryor who got 1000 yards in his first season as WR with a bunch of nobodies throwing to him.  Instead they got an 8 year veteran who has just 1 1000 yard season in his career.

The FO had a chance to get QB Wentz with the 2nd pick last year but chose to trade down and depend on a fragile RG2.5 at that position.  Wentz and a very flawed Eagle team won 7 games.  The Cleveland Tans went 1-15.

1-15 would feel much better if we had a AFC North style rookie QB starting and learning from his mistakes.  What we had was the usual 43 QBs.  The QB they drafted in the 3rd round is a weak armed, under sized guy from the Pac12 who plays no D at all.

I am at the end of my rope with this group of pinheads.  What makes me think that EVP Sashi Brown can find more than 1 decent player?  Nothing at all.  My suggestion to Brown is go back to being a lawyer because you have no business being a judge of NFL talent.

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Patrick Mahomes Aims To Shine At NFL Combine

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Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes is looking forward to NFL Combine, and is aching to play for the Browns and Hue Jackson. He is the quarterback for Texas Tech and wants to show that he is just as strong as Deshaun Watson and Mitch Trubisky to coach Hue Jackson. During Super Bowl week, Mahomes told cleveland.com said that he wants to be one of the first picks in the draft and really has his heart set on the Browns because they seem to be going in the right direction.

Mahomes is actually noted as the third or fourth best quarterback in the upcoming draft. Other top quarterbacks include DeShone Kizer and Trubisky Watson. Mahomes is looking forward to the NFL Combine in Indianapolis next week so that he can show his stuff. The Browns do have top pick, which Mahomes hope to be, and the twelfth position. Patrick Mahomes is named after his father who was a Major League pitcher. He hopes that his tenacity and work ethic will give him the edge.

Lance Zierlein commented on Mahomes’ NFL.com profile that Mahomes, who is 6 feet three inches and 215 pounds, has the ideal NFL body to work both inside and outside of the pocket. Zierlein also added that Mahomes’ accuracy has been improving since his freshman season, and he challenges defenders with confidence and increases velocity to make his passes move. Sources have told cleveland.com that two teams are considering makes trades to get Mahomes who had a strong 2016 record with 41 touchdowns, 5,052 yards, 10 interceptions and completed 66 percent of all passes.

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